Muhibah APH solution in the works?

APH has been put under receivership again, which is not necessarily
bad news for its main contractor Muhibbah as it could lead to an
alternative solution that would raise the additional funds needed to
complete the project.
The stock is trading above our
worst-case target price (full
provisions) of RM0.81, based on an
unchanged 40% RNAV discount. The
share price should be supported by
potential positive newsflow on
contract awards. Maintain Trading
Buy.
What Happened
Last Friday, Muhibbah, the main
contractor for the Asia Petroleum
Hub (APH) project, announced that
the financier CIMB Bank has
appointed PwC as receivers and
managers for APH in order to
facilitate a restructuring exercise. As
APH is a viable project, Muhibbah,
which is owed RM371m for works
done, is working with various
financiers, including CIMB and other
relevant parties towards an amicable
solution. There will be updates on
further material developments.
What We Think
At first glance, this development is
another negative surprise given that
the earlier receivership status was
lifted in late 2011. However, our
checks indicate that this
development could be positive as this
time around, APH has been put
receivership to allow for a potential
restructuring. The previous
receivership status was in response
to APH’s inability to come up with
additional funding. Though details
are limited at this juncture, this
announcement suggests that an
alternative solution may involve the
entry of other parties to facilitate an
alternative funding structure. To
complete the APH facility, an
additional RM1bn-1.4bn is needed,
probably to be raised through a
syndicated loan.
What You Should Do
Investors should not be too alarmed
by this news and should monitor
APH developments. But it may be a
few months before anything firm
materialises. A potential catalyst in
the short term is project wins, locally
(MRT, 10MP, and oil & gas
infrastrucure) and overseas
(marine/port infrastructure).