Author Topic: Casino Stocks  (Read 2001871 times)

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1300 on: February 27, 2019, 06:07:41 PM »
Golden Agri FY18 swings into net loss of US$2 mil on falling CPO prices ~ 27 Feb 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/golden-agri-fy18-swings-net-loss-us2-mil-falling-cpo-prices

Malaysian palm oil price falls 2% on stronger ringgit, weaker demand ~ 26 Feb 2019
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2019/02/26/palm-falls-2-pct-on-stronger-ringgit-weaker-demand/

India govt unlikely to cut palm oil duty on Indonesia’s demand ~ 26 Feb 2019
http://www.cogencis.com/newssection/govt-unlikely-cut-palm-oil-duty-indonesias-demand
India levies 45% duty on refined palm oil if it is imported from Malaysia, and 50% if imported from members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, which includes Indonesia, while import duty on crude palm oil is 40% for all nations.

Malaysia keeps March crude palm oil export duty at 0% ~ 18 Feb 2019
https://af.reuters.com/article/commoditiesNews/idAFL3N20D18L

Oversupply of palm oil drags price, says MIDF ~ 13 Feb 2019
https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/highlight/2019/02/13/oversupply-of-palm-oil-drags-price-says-midf/
The oversupply of Malaysian palm oil, negative sentiments from the EU, and competition among oil companies continue to drag the prices of crude palm oil (CPO) down.

EU to tighten palm oil for biofuels rules ~ 11 Feb 2019
https://theecologist.org/2019/feb/11/eu-tighten-palm-oil-biofuels-rules
The Indonesian and Malaysian governments and industries have long criticised the EU’s push to tighten its biofuels criteria.

Golden Agri ~ Bullish Rounding Bottom formation

Golden Agri closed with a doji unchanged @ S$0.28 with 17.3m shares done on 26 Feb 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.265, Immediate resistance @ S$0.29.



Malaysian palm oil price hits lowest in almost 3 years ~ Friday, 13 Jul 2018
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2018/07/13/palm-hits-lowest-in-almost-three-years-on-weaker-dalian-oils/
The benchmark palm oil contract for September delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange was down 0.8% at RM2,186 ($541.16) a tonne at the close of trade for a third straight session of losses.

Golden Agri ~ Bearish Rounding Top Breakout, TP S$0.23

Golden Agri closed with a black marubozu @ S$0.265 (-0.005, -1.9%) with 12.9m shares done on 12 Jul 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.265, immediate resistance @ S$0.285.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1301 on: February 28, 2019, 10:13:31 AM »
苏小妹:

棕榈油(palm oil)是2018年表现最差的农产品 (Agri commodities)之一。

从2018年2月初,棕榈油的价格就向下跌;整整掉了10个月,一直到了2018年12月初才开始反弹。

Golden Agri 的股票走势是紧跟着棕榈油的价格而波动的。想抄底就必须对比棕榈油的走势图;预测才会准确。


Golden Agri ~ Bullish Rounding Bottom formation

Golden Agri closed with a doji unchanged @ S$0.28 with 17.3m shares done on 26 Feb 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.265, Immediate resistance @ S$0.29.



Golden Agri ~ Bearish Rounding Top Breakout, TP S$0.23

Golden Agri closed with a black marubozu @ S$0.265 (-0.005, -1.9%) with 12.9m shares done on 12 Jul 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.265, immediate resistance @ S$0.285.



Bursa Malaysia Palm oil futures
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/derivatives/prices/

Palm hits lowest levels since year began on weaker exports expectations ~ 27 Feb 2019
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/palm-hits-lowest-levels-year-began-weaker-exports-expectations
FCPO futures for May delivery closed @ RM2,132 (-51, -2.34%) on 28 Feb 2019.



FCPO futures ~ 28 Feb 2018 to 28 Feb 2019



SATURDAY, 31 MARCH 2018
Funds Flow Analysis of Golden Agri Resources: 31 March 2018, Saturday, 11.10am Singapore Time


Funds Flow Analysis of Golden Agri Resources:
31 March 2018, Saturday, 11.10am Singapore Time
(Click on FFA Chart above to Expand)

Attached is the Funds Flow for Golden Agri Resources. In fact, plantation stocks and palm oil stocks worldwide are not bearish anymore. I am expecting more uptrend for plantation stocks and palm oil stocks in 2018, 2019 and possibly into 2020.

I am also still bullish on commodities, commodity stocks, raw material stocks, metals and metal stocks, energy and crude oil stocks for 2018, 2019 and possibly into 2020. We are currently in a Commodities' Super-Cycle Upmove which is just the start. The term commodities used by me refers to all soft commodities and hard commodities. Quoting investopedia, hard commodities are typically natural resources that must be mined or extracted (such as gold, rubber and oil), whereas soft commodities are agricultural products or livestock (such as corn, wheat, coffee, sugar, soybeans and pork).



Donovan Norfolk Ang
Donovan Norfolk Ang at 3/31/2018 11:10:00 am

The ONLY bullish commodity now is GOLD; other soft commodities and hard commodities prices are affected by the current trade war between U.S. (tariffs ~ a tax of 25% on imported steel and 10% on imported aluminum) and China (tariffs on US imports on 128 products ranging from pork, meat and fruit to steel pipes. The  impact (+ve and -ve) of trade war on commodities prices is yet to be seen.

The big picture for gold is bullish ~ 26 Dec 2017
https://www.streetwisereports.com/article/2017/12/26/the-big-picture-for-gold-is-bullish.html
Fed rate hikes push gold into bullish territory.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1302 on: March 01, 2019, 11:25:20 AM »
苏小妹:

对比Cocoaland与QAF这两张相似的圆底图形(rounding bottom),你会预测哪一张股票有可能反弹成功?随后价格又有可能继续上涨到什么价位?


Cocoaland (7205) ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

Cocoaland closed with an inverted hammer @ RM2.11 (-0.02, -0.9%) with 27,400 shares done on 28 Feb 2019.

Immediate support @ RM2.09, immediate resistance @ RM2.21.



QAF ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

QAF closed with a hammer @ S$0.69 (-0.02, -2.8%) with 140,000 shares done on 19 Feb 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.68, immediate resistance @ S$0.71.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1303 on: March 01, 2019, 01:32:11 PM »
There is no doubt that life is beautiful. Nature has provided us with many blessings that we can't even imagine. The world has become prone to nasty things because we have let it happen. We need to play our part in making life beautiful for people who think otherwise.

Investing in overpriced markets ~ 15 Feb 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qieWOXxCJT0
Legendary investor Howard Marks, co-founder and co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, explains how he invests successfully, fully aware that nothing is a sure bet. In this conversation with Grant Williams, he breaks down how he has navigated market cycles, and outlines the dangers that lie ahead in a world dominated by moral hazard and political polarization. Filmed on January 31, 2019 in Boca Raton, Florida.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1304 on: March 02, 2019, 08:29:41 AM »
苏小妹:

去年11月,马来西亚政府大幅提高赌场税和执照费用;云顶是大马最会生金蛋的一只肥鹅。


GENTING (3182) ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

GENTING closed with a hammer @ RM7.24 (-0.13, -1.8%) with 5.05m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM7.04, immediate resistance @ RM7.39.



GENM (4715) ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

GENM closed with a hammer @ RM3.44 (-0.06, -1.7%) with 11.7m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM3.35, immediate resistance @ RM3.55.



GEN Malaysia 4Q profit helped by tax gain, year loss on notes ~ 28 Feb 2019
http://www.ggrasia.com/gen-malaysia-4q-profit-helped-by-tax-gain-year-loss-on-notes/
Fourth-quarter profit at casino operator Genting Malaysia Bhd rose 60.1% on revenue that actually fell slightly. Such profit was MYR720.14 million (US$176.7 million) compared to MYR449.79 million in the prior-year quarter. Such group revenue was nearly MYR2.51 billion, a decline of 1.5% compared to the MYR2.54 billion booked in the same period in 2017. But for the full-year ending December 31, the group recorded a loss of MYR19.6 million, compared to a profit of MYR1.16 billion in full-year 2017.

Genting Malaysia swings to loss in FY18, declares special dividend ~ 27 Feb 2019
https://www.nst.com.my/business/2019/02/464384/genting-malaysia-swings-loss-fy18-declares-special-dividend
Genting Malaysia Bhd slips into a net loss of RM19.59 million for the 2018 financial year compared with a net profit of RM1.16 billion in the preceding year, primarily attributed an impairment loss of RM1.83 billion.

Genting Malaysia’s judicial review on tax incentive to be heard on May 30 ~ 14 Feb 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/genting-malaysias-judicial-review-tax-incentive-be-heard-may-30
The High Court today fixed May 30 to hear Genting Malaysia Bhd’s application for a judicial review of a government decision on the tax incentives granted for the group’s RM10.38 billion Genting Integrated Tourism Plan (GITP) redevelopment project.

Bursa Malaysia sees second straight week of net foreign selling ~ 25 Feb 2019
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2019/02/25/~-sees-second-straight-week-of-net-foreign-selling/
Offshore funds remained as net sellers on Bursa for the second week, marking the third weekly inflow so far this year.

Largest foreign fund outflow from Bursa in 8 weeks ~ 18 Feb 2019
https://www.thesundaily.my/business/largest-foreign-fund-outflow-from-bursa-in-8-weeks-HG549584
“On the regional front, Malaysia is now the nation with the lowest foreign net inflow amongst the four Asean markets we monitor with Indonesia taking the lead with a year-to-date net inflow above RM3 billion while Thailand is the only one with a net outflow,“ MIDF said.

Chart of the Week: Fund flows turn to Asia ~ 18 Feb 2019
https://www.dbs.com/aics/templatedata/article/generic/data/en/GR/022019/190218_economics_chart_of_the_week.xml
Malaysia's inflation for Jan19 is on tap this week. The headline number should print a benign 0.1% YoY. However, that’s partly to do with the high base last year and the removal of the GST subsequently. We reckon that inflation should bottom in the coming 1-2 months and should start to rise from 2Q19 onwards. That said, inflationary pressure will remain benign. Against the backdrop of a slower growth outlook, the central bank will likely continue to stand pat on monetary policy in 2019.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1305 on: March 03, 2019, 02:42:40 PM »
苏小妹:

"Forced Selling" 是「逼仓」的意思。

https://baike.baidu.com/item/%E9%80%BC%E4%BB%93

Forced Selling (Forced Liquidation)
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/forcedliquidation.asp
Forced selling or forced liquidation usually entails the involuntary sale of assets or securities to create liquidity in the event of an uncontrollable or unforeseen situation.

Seacera (7073) ~ Bullish Rounding Bottom, strong resistance @ RM0.50

Seacera closed with a white marubozu @ RM0.34 (+0.015, +4.62%) with 37.4m shares done on 1 Mar 2019

Immediate support @ RM0.305, immediate resistance @ RM0.375.



‘Seacera’s major shareholders forced to sell stakes by banks, brokers’ ~ 30 Oct 2018
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/seaceras-major-shareholders-forced-sell-stakes-banks-brokers


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1306 on: March 03, 2019, 04:36:14 PM »
苏小妹:

你会区分庄家拉高价格跑路是以什么角度?(Identify and differentiate by an angle of 30°,45°,60° and 90°)


Silverlake Axis ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

Silverlake Axis closed with a doji unchanged @ S$0.57 with 3.22m shares on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.555, strong resistance @ S$0.595.



Silverlake Axis ~ Trading in a rectangle

Silverlake Axis closed with a spinning top @ S$0.43 (+0.025, +6.2%) with high volume done at 49.9m shares on 29 Jan 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.40, immediate resistance @ S$0.45.



苏小妹:

Best World让我想起Blumont;好熟悉的90°向下突破!The higher you climb, the harder you fall.


Best World shares slide over 20% after weekend announcement of independent review ~ 25 Feb 2019
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/best-world-shares-slide-over-20-after-weekend-announcement-independent-review

Best World ~ Bearish Island Reversal, critical support @ S$1.84

Best World closed with a hammer @ S$2.21 (-0.50, -18.5%) with high volume done at 29.5m shares when trading resumed on Monday 25 Feb 2019.



Blumont — Fall off the cliff


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1307 on: March 03, 2019, 05:54:12 PM »
苏小妹:

你知道SGX哪一个向上突破是最斜峭?价位在那里?


SGX ~ Double Top formation

SGX closed with a spinning top @ S$7.89 (+0.05, +0.6%) with 3.10m shares on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$7.77, strong resistance @ S$8.06.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1308 on: March 03, 2019, 08:09:30 PM »
苏小妹:

Bearish symmetrical triangle (continuation) to descending triangle chart pattern is a typical textbook example

https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:symmetrical_triangle_continuation

Sime Darby Berhad 1H FY2019 net profit jumps 69% ~ 21 Feb 2019
http://www.simedarby.com/press-releases/sime-darby-berhad-1h-fy2019-net-profit-jumps-69
The Group announced an interim dividend of two sen per share for the financial year ending 30 June 2019.

SIME ~ Bearish Descending Triangle, interim TP RM1.98, next TP RM1.75

SIME closed with a spinning top @ RM2.18 (+0.01, +0.5%) with 4.76m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM2.10, immediate resistance @ RM2.23.



SIME ~ Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Breakout, interim RM1.75

SIME closed with a hanging man @ RM2.47 (+0.01, +0.4%) with 2.40m shares done on 23 Nov 2018.

Immediate support @ RM2.35, immediate resistance @ RM2.52.



SIME ~ Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Breakout

SIME closed with a white marubozu @ RM2.20 (+0.04, +1.9%) with 10.7m shares done on 30 Oct 2018.

Immediate support @ RM2.10, immediate resistance @ RM2.29.



SIME ~ Symmetrical Triangle formation

SIME closed with a white marubozu @ RM2.64 (+0.03, +1.1%) with 7.06m shares done on 2 Oct 2018.

Immediate support @ RM2.59, immediate resistance @ RM2.69.



Symmetrical Triangle formation


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1309 on: March 04, 2019, 10:23:19 AM »
苏小妹:

SP Setia暴跌后强力回弹是典型的“死猫跳”。

圆底图形(potential double bottom formation)是预测这只股票可能会有第二轮的“死猫跳”。

S P Setia和Sime Darby这两只股票必须看英国倫敦巴特西电站的投资项目是否是一个“烫手山芋”。


SP Setia (8864) ~ Potential Double Bottom formation

SP Setia closed with a black marubozu @ RM2.21 (-0.08, -3.5%) with 3.25m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM2.11, immediate resistance @ RM2.35.



SP Setia targets 10% growth ~ 28 Feb 2019
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2019/02/28/sp-setia-targets-10pc-growth/
SP Setia’s net profit for its fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2018 dropped to RM101.55mil compared with RM276.03mil in the previous corresponding period, partly due to higher volume of development phases completed and handed over in the last quarter of 2017. Revenue in the fourth quarter fell to RM1.02bil from RM1.33bil a year earlier.

Newsbreak: PNB, EPF dismiss ‘bailout’ concerns in RM8.3b Battersea deal ~ 31 Dec 2018
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/newsbreak-pnb-epf-dismiss-bailout-concerns-rm83b-battersea-deal

马来西亚投资者16亿英镑吞下巴特西发电站大楼 ~ 19 Dec 2018
http://www.youinvest.cn/iinvestment/content/pid/3/newsid/1860.html
这两个集团已经共同拥有整个巴特西发电站开发项目70%的所有权。第二阶段最近一次的交易是一家合资公司的交通产品,PNB占65%股权,EPF占35%股权。本次交易的首付为15.83亿英镑,剩下的部分分阶段支付。目前双方已经交换合同,交易预计将在明年第一季度完成。值得注意的是,该交易的达成不会影响Battersea项目控股公司的股权,该公司在S P Setia(40%),Sime Darby Property(40%)和EPF(20%)之间保持不变。

伦敦巴特西电站改造项目易手!谁接手了“烫手山芋”?~ 25 Jan 2018
http://www.ihuawen.com/article/index/id/50136
近日,巴特西发电站第二期项目经历了一轮诡异的换手交易,虽然16亿英镑的总投资额刷新了英国房地产交易的历史最高纪录,但买卖双方却离奇地指向同一方——马来西亚政府财团。



苏小妹:

当一只股票在长期下跌趋势运行;没有最低,只有更低。(SP Setia's longterm horizontal support @ RM2.76 was convincingly broken with high volume on 24 Aug 2018)


SP Setia upgraded to buy at Hong Leong; price target RM3.03 ~ 15 Nov 2018
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/sp-setia-upgraded-buy-hong-leong-price-target-rm303
Investors who followed the analyst's recommendation would have received a negative 11% return in the past year, compared with the negative 36% return on the shares.

SP Setia (8864) ~ Bearish Rectangle Breakout, interim TP RM1.70

SP Setia closed with a white marubozu @ RM2.13 (+0.02, +0.9%) with 480,000 shares on 23 Nov 2018.

Immediate support @ RM2.05, immediate resistance @ RM2.20.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1310 on: March 04, 2019, 12:42:29 PM »
苏小妹:

SIMEPROP (5288) 和 SIME (4197) 这两张股票走势图形(Bearish Descending Triangle)有点相似。


Sime Darby Property posts RM347 mil loss in 2Q ~ 27 Feb 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/sime-darby-property-posts-rm347-mil-loss-2q
Sime Darby Property Bhd posted a maiden loss of RM347.5 million in its second quarter ended Dec 31, 2018 (2QFY19), against a net profit of RM138.08 million in the previous year's corresponding quarter. In a bourse filing today, the property developer attributed the sharp decline in performance to gains on disposal of a subsidiary and associate recorded in the previous year, as well as to high impairment of inventories, negative contribution from its Battersea project, and a higher tax provision.

SIMEPROP (5288) ~ Bearish Descending Triangle, interim TP RM0.905, next TP RM0.71

SIMEPROP closed with a black marubozu @ RM1.00 (-0.05, -4.8%) with 3.21m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM0.93, immediate resistance @ RM1.07.



SIME ~ Bearish Descending Triangle, interim TP RM1.98, next TP RM1.75

SIME closed with a spinning top @ RM2.18 (+0.01, +0.5%) with 4.76m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM2.10, immediate resistance @ RM2.23.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1311 on: March 04, 2019, 01:45:31 PM »
苏小妹:

SIMEPLT (5285)的图形是属于「长期高价位盘整」。

对比Silverlake Axis的图形,它却是「长期低价位盘整」。

一旦庄家有所行动,这两只股票就很容易暴跌(SIMEPLT)或暴升(Silverlake Axis)。


SIMEPLT (5285) ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

SIMEPLT closed with a white marubozu @ RM5.11 (+0.01, +0.2%) with 2.20m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM4.98, immediate resistance @ RM5.32.



Silverlake Axis ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

Silverlake Axis closed with a doji unchanged @ S$0.57 with 3.22m shares on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.555, strong resistance @ S$0.595.



棕榈油终端提货不佳 价格随盘调整 ~ 2 Mar 2019
http://futures.eastmoney.com/a/201903021057795690.html
Crude palm oil is expected to continue its downtrend as China is negotiating with the US to buy more agriculture products from the US which would potentially include soybean (or soybean oil). In general, any increase of soybean oil import from the US to China means lower import for other types of oil from other countries (in particular palm oil from Indonesia and Malaysia). The EU Commission has agreed to phase out palm oil for transport fuel (bio-fuel) by 2030. France and Norway have already started to move away from palm oil. Demand of crude palm oil from the EU is expected to go down exponentially given the proposed ban of palm oil use in food and transportation industries. Crude palm oil key players are: Wilmar International, Sime Darby Berhad, IOI, Astra Agro Lestari, Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad, and Golden Agri.

Malaysia plans to halt all expansion of palm oil plantations ~ 1 Mar 2019
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/malaysia-plans-to-halt-all-expansion-of-palm-oil-plantations-1.1222149

Lower CPO, PK prices dampened Sime Darby Plantation's earnings ~ 28 Feb 2019
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2019/02/28/lower-cpo-pk-prices-dampened-sime-darby-plantations-earnings/
Sime Darby Plantation Bhd's net profit fell by 70% in the second quarter ended Dec 31, 2018 to RM129mil from RM429mil a year ago, impacted by lower average crude palm oil (CPO) and palm kernel (PK) prices. The company, which is the world’s largest oil palm plantation company by planted area, announced on Thursday its revenue declined to RM3.50bil from RM4.08bil a year ago.

Malaysian palm oil price falls 2% on stronger ringgit, weaker demand ~ 26 Feb 2019
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2019/02/26/palm-falls-2-pct-on-stronger-ringgit-weaker-demand/

India govt unlikely to cut palm oil duty on Indonesia’s demand ~ 26 Feb 2019
http://www.cogencis.com/newssection/govt-unlikely-cut-palm-oil-duty-indonesias-demand
India levies 45% duty on refined palm oil if it is imported from Malaysia, and 50% if imported from members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, which includes Indonesia, while import duty on crude palm oil is 40% for all nations.

Malaysia keeps March crude palm oil export duty at 0% ~ 18 Feb 2019
https://af.reuters.com/article/commoditiesNews/idAFL3N20D18L

Oversupply of palm oil drags price, says MIDF ~ 13 Feb 2019
https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/highlight/2019/02/13/oversupply-of-palm-oil-drags-price-says-midf/
The oversupply of Malaysian palm oil, negative sentiments from the EU, and competition among oil companies continue to drag the prices of crude palm oil (CPO) down.

EU to tighten palm oil for biofuels rules ~ 11 Feb 2019
https://theecologist.org/2019/feb/11/eu-tighten-palm-oil-biofuels-rules
The Indonesian and Malaysian governments and industries have long criticised the EU’s push to tighten its biofuels criteria.

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1312 on: March 04, 2019, 02:35:34 PM »
苏小妹:

本来Sime Darby Bhd只是一张图就ok,现在却需要多画两张图。(Need to pay brokerage fees for 3 instead of 1 stock) :thumbsdown:

3只股的价钱加起来,整体来看Sime Darby Bhd还是处于「长期高价位盘整」。

As at 1 Mar 2019, share prices for SIMEPLT (5285) RM5.11 + SIMEPROP (5288) RM1.00 + (SIME 4197) RM2.18 = RM8.29


《一场游戏一场梦》~ 王杰
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-vnWJGHDig

Sime Darby Bhd's demerger
Sime Darby Bhd's demerger exercise was completed in November 2017, whereby Sime Darby Plantation Bhd (SIMEPLT 5285) and Sime Darby Property Bhd (SIMEPROP 5288) were deconsolidated from Sime Darby Bhd (SIME 4197).



SIMEPLT (5285) ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

SIMEPLT closed with a white marubozu @ RM5.11 (+0.01, +0.2%) with 2.20m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM4.98, immediate resistance @ RM5.32.



SIMEPROP (5288) ~ Bearish Descending Triangle, interim TP RM0.905, next TP RM0.71

SIMEPROP closed with a black marubozu @ RM1.00 (-0.05, -4.8%) with 3.21m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM0.93, immediate resistance @ RM1.07.



SIME ~ Bearish Descending Triangle, interim TP RM1.98, next TP RM1.75

SIME closed with a spinning top @ RM2.18 (+0.01, +0.5%) with 4.76m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM2.10, immediate resistance @ RM2.23.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1313 on: March 04, 2019, 03:51:51 PM »
苏小妹:

如果重量穿破了RM5.60的价位,CIMB的股票就会探底RM5.11,那就会形成了descending triangle chart pattern。


Bearish symmetrical triangle (continuation) to descending triangle chart pattern is a typical textbook example
https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:symmetrical_triangle_continuation

CIMB ~ Symmetrical Triangle formation

CIMB closed with a black marubozu @ RM5.68 (-0.17, -2.9%) with 19.5m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM5.60, immediate resistance @ RM5.91.



CIMB FY18 net profit rises 24.7% to RM5.58b ~ 28 Feb 2019
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2019/02/28/cimb-fy18-net-profit-rises-24pt7pct-to-rm5pt58b/
CIMB posted net earnings of RM5.58bil in the financial year ended Dec 31, 2018, a 24.77% increase over the previous year, aided by lower provisions and costs. For FY18, the group benefited from a RM928mil gain from the Q2FY18 sale of 20% of CIMB-Principal Asset Management (CPAM) and 10% of CIMB-Principal Islamic Asset Management (CPIAM).

Special Interview with Tengku Dato’ Seri Zafrul Aziz, CEO, CIMB Group Holding Berhad ~ 1 Oct 2018
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4SSRJjgtDMU

Nazir leaves CIMB after 29 years at Malaysia's 2nd largest bank ~ 25 Sep 2018
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2018/09/25/nazir-to-leave-cimb/

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1314 on: March 05, 2019, 08:11:52 AM »
苏小妹:

FGV (5222)的年图显示;它有两个很长的盘整时段。第一个是属于「长期高价位盘整」,另一个是「长期低价位盘整」。两个矩形都是向下突破的。


FGV reports RM1.08b net loss for FY18 ~ 28 Feb 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/fgv-reports-rm108b-net-loss-fy18
The group results was largely hit by impairments and lower average crude palm oil (CPO) price realised of RM2,282 per tonne for the year.

Former Felda board member charged with 14 counts of corruption ~ 13 Feb 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/former-felda-board-member-charged-14-counts-corruption

FGV (5222) ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

FGV closed with a shooting star @ RM1.18 (-0.01, -0.8%) with 16.9m shares done on 4 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM0.995, immediate resistance @ RM1.24.



FGV buys Asian Plantations ~ 30 Aug 2014
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2014/08/30/fgv-buys-asian-plantations-this-has-strengthened-its-position-as-worlds-thirdlargest-plantation-oper/
FGV announced its proposed acquisition of APL for a total cash consideration of £120mil or about RM628mil. “The market seems to be reacting positively to FGV’s proposal to acquire APL although some quarters are saying that the acquisition was overpriced with high book value for a loss making company,” say analysts.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1315 on: March 05, 2019, 08:58:05 AM »
苏小妹:

为什么当证券行的经纪通过媒体叫你「买」股票的时候;其实是等于「卖」?因为基本上小股民(retail players)的「对赌对手」是证券行的老板和大赌客(institutional players)。当小股民输大钱的时候;证券行的老板和大赌客就赢大钱。


Cautionary tale of research reports ~ 27 Feb 2016
http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/02/27/cautionary-tale-of-research-reports/
THE US$100,000 fine slapped on a former Deutsche Bank analyst for issuing a positive research report on a company when he actually had negative views on it is a stark reminder of why financial opinions should be taken with a pinch of salt.

Understanding and relying on analysts' calls

In-house stock analysts' rating lingo:
“downgrade” means SELL
“underperform” means SELL
“underweight” means SELL
"equal weight” means SELL
“neutral” means SELL
“hold” means SELL
“reduce” means SELL
“sell” means SELL and SHORT-SELL

苏小妹:

“cease coverage“ means SELL.

一只股票如果没有大赌客(institutional players)落场玩,亏本的生意证券行是不会做的。


PublicInvest Research ceasing coverage on Parkson Holdings w.e.f. 27 Feb 2019.

Parkson closed with a doji unchanged @ RM0.24 with 1.22m shares done on 4 Mar 2019.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1316 on: March 06, 2019, 12:42:19 PM »
苏小妹:

OSK(侨丰控股)的年图显示这只股票从最高的RM2.28(OSK与PJ Dev合并之前);暴跌到最低的RM0.835(OSK与PJ Dev合并之后)。
(The significant impact on the share prices before and after the merger of OSK and PJ Dev.)

对比2019年3月5日OSK收市价RM0.975;它让我想起在2015年7月8日决定卖掉2万OSK股票于RM2.17是对的。

对于玩「数字游戏」的股票而言;价值投资(value investing)必须加上很长时间的等待,才是最佳的筹码。

Never fall in love with a stock; always have an open mind. ~ Peter Lynch


《一场游戏一场梦》~ 王杰
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-vnWJGHDig



OSK (5053) ~ Bearish Butterfly formation, downside biased

OSK closed with a white marubozu unchanged @ RM0.975 with 190,000 shares done on 5 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM0.95, immediate resistance @ RM1.00.



OSK succeeds in taking private PJ Development ~ 28 Nov 2016
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/11/28/osk-succeeds-in-taking-private-pj-development/
OSK, controlled by Tan Sri Ong Leong Huat, a seasoned stockbroker, had launched a second attempt at taking over PJ Development in September after failing last year. The first attempt at taking over PJ Development fell short of the 90% requirement for a compulsory acquisition. OSK had offered RM1.56 per share and 60 sen per warrant at the time. The second offer valued the shares and warrants lower at RM1.50 per share and 50 sen per warrant. This offer saw the deadline extended twice after the original deadline of Oct 6 lapsed. It was extended to Oct 25 and then to Nov 21. By last Friday, OSK owned 95.4% of PJ Development shares.

OSK ~ Bear Flag Breakout, downside biased

OSK closed with a black marubozu @ RM1.58 (-0.02, -1.3%) with 1.12m shares done on 25 Aug 2015.

Immediate support @ RM1.52, immediate resistance @ RM1.62.




Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1317 on: March 06, 2019, 09:46:32 PM »
苏小妹:

蝴蝶形态向下降反转的 “point C”你答对了。给你一个赞!
:thumbsup:

Genting SP ~ Bearish Bat formation, downside biased

Genting SP closed with an inverted hammer @ S$1.01 (-0.01, -1.0%) with 37.3m shares done on 6 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.00, immediate Resistance @ S$1.05.



苏小妹:

虽然云顶新加坡的末季盈利上扬了13%,但是它的股价走势会渐渐向下降到 “point C”才会反弹。

根据蝴蝶形态典型的向下降反转理论(Bearish Bat);你懂得怎样预测“买”(point C)和“卖”(point D)在什么价位吗?


GEN Singapore 4Q profit up 13% on gaming revenue jump ~ 21 Feb 2019
http://www.ggrasia.com/gen-singapore-4q-profit-up-13pct-on-gaming-revenue-jump/

Genting SP ~ Bearish Bat formation, downside biased

Genting SP closed with a long-legged doji @ S$1.11 (+0.01, +0.9%) with 41.2m shares done on 21 Feb 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.07, immediate Resistance @ S$1.13.





Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1318 on: March 07, 2019, 09:37:23 AM »
苏小妹:

对比F&N与SP Setia这两张长期下跌的股票;它们反弹的力度和能否持续往上升,重点必须看成交量有多强。


OCBC maintained HOLD on F&N ~ 12 Feb 2019
https://www.ocbc.com/assets/pdf/credit%20research/corporates%20reports/2019/ocbc%20asia%20credit%20-%20fnnsp%20earnings%20review%201q2019%20-%20120219.pdf

FNN ~ Saucer formation

FNN closed with a hammer @ S$1.77 (-0.02, -1.1%) with thin volume done at 50,600 shares on 6 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.72, immediate resistance @ S$1.85.



SP Setia (8864) ~ Potential Double Bottom formation

SP Setia closed with a black marubozu @ RM2.21 (-0.08, -3.5%) with 3.25m shares done on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM2.11, immediate resistance @ RM2.35.



F&N ~ Bearish Rectangle Breakout, interim TP S$1.51

F&N closed with an inverted hammer @ S$1.79 with thin volume done at 12,700 shares on 26 Nov 2018.

Immediate support @ S$1.70, immediate resistance @ S$1.84.



SP Setia (8864) ~ Bearish Rectangle Breakout, interim TP RM1.70

SP Setia closed with a white marubozu @ RM2.13 (+0.02, +0.9%) with 480,000 shares on 23 Nov 2018.

Immediate support @ RM2.05, immediate resistance @ RM2.20.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1319 on: March 07, 2019, 11:34:20 AM »
苏小妹:

OSK(侨丰控股)的年图显示这只股票从最高的RM2.28(OSK与PJ Dev合并之前);暴跌到最低的RM0.835(OSK与PJ Dev合并之后)。
(The significant impact on the share prices before and after the merger of OSK and PJ Dev.)

苏小妹:

处了Aabar Investments PJS是RHBBANK的大股东(major substantial shareholders),OSK(侨丰控股)也持有RHBBANK10%的股票。


Aabar places out 4.76% of RHB ~ 5 Mar 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/aabar-places-out-476-rhb
United Arab Emirates-based Aabar Investments PJS is placing out about 191 million shares or 4.76% of its 14.75% stake in RHB Bank Bhd. This sale of shares in RHB, Malaysia’s fourth largest banking group, would trim Aabar’s stake down to 9.99%. The price range for the placement which was being taken up by both foreign and local funds is understood to be between RM5.43 and RM5.54 per share, which was a discount to RHB’s close of RM5.71 yesterday. This would mean that Aabar would be selling the block of shares for anywhere between RM1.04 billion and RM1.06 billion. “I hear most of the placements were done at the lower end of price range,” the source said. It is noteworthy that as at end December last year, RHB’s net assets per share was RM5.82.

RHB 4Q net profit up 23% on-year at RM565m ~ 27 Feb 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/rhb-4q-net-profit-23-onyear-rm565m

RHBBANK ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

RHBBANK gapped down and closed with a spinning top @ RM5.54 (-0.17, -3%) with high volume done at 23.3m shares on 6 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM5.30, immediate resistance @ RM5.63.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1320 on: March 07, 2019, 12:03:32 PM »
苏小妹:

Understanding the difference between a retracement and a reversal.

对比RHBBANK与Wilmar这两张相似的图;你预测价格可能下调(retracement)到什么价位 (BUY)?

随后价格又有可能反转(reversal)继续向上涨到什么价位?(SELL)


RHBBANK ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

RHBBANK gapped down and closed with a spinning top @ RM5.54 (-0.17, -3%) with high volume done at 23.3m shares on 6 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM5.30, immediate resistance @ RM5.63.



Wilmar ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

Wilmar closed with a doji unchanged @ S$3.21 with 4.65m shares done on 6 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$3.15, immediate resistance @ S$3.25.



苏小妹:

How to read Wilmar's TA chart with in-house stock analyst's rating?

OCBC在Wilmar业绩公布日期(21 Feb 2019)的前一天(20 Feb 2019)叫人「HOLD」TP S$3.42;其实是等于「卖」的意思。

因为根据Wilmar的图形;the share price  had already hit the upper resistance line of the sloping channel + overbought。


Singapore's Wilmar Q4 net profit halves on provision for sugar assets ~ 21 Feb 2019
https://www.reuters.com/article/wilmar-results-idUSL3N20G3NZ
  • Q4 net profit $200.9 mln vs $426.7 mln previous year
  • Q4 core net profit $334.7 ml vs $373 mln year earlier
  • Incurs $138.6 mln provision for impairment
OCBC maintained HOLD on Wilmar, TP S$3.42 ~ 20 Feb 2019
https://www.nextinsight.net/target-prices

Wilmar ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

Wilmar gapped down and traded @ S$3.25 (-0.14, -4.1%) with 6.08m shares done on 22 Feb 2019 at 1500 hrs.

Immediate support @ S$3.21, immediate resistance @ S$3.31.



Wilmar ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

Wilmar closed with a spinning top @ S$3.39 (+0.04, +1.2%) with 4.77m shares done on 21 Feb 2019.

Immediate support @ S$3.31, immediate resistance @ S$3.41.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1321 on: March 07, 2019, 02:22:51 PM »
苏小妹:

华侨银行是处于「长期高价位盘整」。一旦遭重量卖压而穿破了S$10.36的支撑点;股票就很有可能再探新低。(下一个支撑点是在S$9.86 or 61.8% FIBO)


OCBC ~ Trading in a rectangle, downside biased

OCBC closed with a spinning top @ S$11.22 (+0.02, +0.2%) with 2.94m shares done on 6 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$11.00, immediate resistance @ S$11.30.



苏小妹:

OCBC 的下降楼梯图形只适合做短炒或日内交易。(consolidation = tight trading range)

主方向是以60日均线做为支撑与阻力(60d SMA = 45° angle down)。

次方向是以水平线做为支撑与阻力(Classic horizontal S/R trendlines)。


OCBC ~ Bearish Stair Step Decline Chart Pattern, downside biased

OCBC closed with a spinning top @ S$11.45 (+0.01, +0.1%) with 2.76m shares done on 1 Oct 2018.

Immediate support @ S$11.18, immediate resistance @ S$11.55.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1322 on: March 07, 2019, 03:09:19 PM »
苏小妹:

虽然OCBC与StarHub这两张图很相似,但是前一张是「长期高价位盘整」,另外一张是「长期低价位盘整」。

从技术分析的角度来看:OCBC是属于“低风险”股票,而StarHub却是典型的“高风险”股票。你知道什么原因吗?


1.  When a stock is in a bear-market territory, the last low will be retested and the share price will move much further down, forming a new record low.

2.  Dead cat bounce is a strong SELL signal; RUN-ROAD (short) and BUY-BACK (cover-short) at lower prices to make a profit.

OCBC ~ Trading in a rectangle, downside biased

OCBC closed with a spinning top @ S$11.22 (+0.02, +0.2%) with 2.94m shares done on 6 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$11.00, immediate resistance @ S$11.30.



StarHub ~ Interim target projection = S$1.21 or 61.8% from S$2.76 ~ 20 Feb 2019

Starhub closed with a hammer @ S$1.63 (-0.01, -0.6%) with 4.05m shares done on 20 Feb 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.54, immediate resistance @ S$1.68.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1323 on: March 08, 2019, 08:59:47 AM »
zuolun bro,

my buy prices for singtel is 2.90 1000 shares
1.80 1000 shares

苏小妹:

十字线蜡烛图(doji) 是反映市场"失去了方向感"(undecided)。当长腿十字线(long-legged doji)出现之后;重点是要看随后的收市价和成交量。

What does a long-legged doji mean?

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/long-legged-doji.asp

Singtel and Optus’ outlook downgraded to negative: Moody’s ~ 6 Mar 2019
https://www.ig.com/sg/news-and-trade-ideas/shares-news/singtel-and-optus-outlook-downgraded-to-negative--moodys-190306
An intense price competition in Singapore and Australia is pointing to lower average revenue per user and profitability in both markets while the subscription to India's Bharti Airtel rights issue would raise its risks.

DBS Group Research maintained BUY on Singtel, TP S$3.50 ~ 11 Feb 2019
https://researchwise.dbsvresearch.com/ResearchManager/DownloadResearch.aspx?E=ecffbkQEByd191c2VyaWRAQA==
Accumulate for 5.7% yield - Bharti comes free.

Singtel ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$2.65

Singtel closed with a long-legged doji @ S$2.97 (-0.01, -0.3%) with 29.1m shares done on 7 Mar 2019.

Critical support @ S$2.90, immediate resistance @ S$3.02.



Bearish symmetrical triangle (continuation) to descending triangle chart pattern is a typical textbook example
https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:symmetrical_triangle_continuation

Singtel (weekly) ~ Descending Triangle formation



Singtel's uptrend is convincingly broken with high volume, if the long term horizontal support @ S$3.03 breaks down with a climatic sell-off; the worst is yet to come.

Singtel ~ Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Breakout, interim TP S$3.34, next TP S$3.03

Singtel closed with a black marubozu @ S$3.49 (-0.03, -0.9%) with high volume done at 51.3m shares on 2 Feb 2018.

Immediate support @ S$3.46, immediate resistance @ S$3.50.



Singtel (weekly) ~ Uptrend is broken, interim TP S$3.34, next TP S$3.03



趋势已过不恋战。



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1324 on: March 08, 2019, 09:36:33 AM »
Understanding and relying on analysts' calls

In-house stock analysts' rating lingo:
“downgrade” means SELL
“underperform” means SELL
“underweight” means SELL
"equal weight” means SELL
“neutral” means SELL
“hold” means SELL
“reduce” means SELL
“sell” means SELL and SHORT-SELL
"cease coverage" means SELL

Hong Leong Investment Bank Research maintained NEUTRAL on RHB, TP RM6.60 ~ 7 Mar 2019

RHBBANK ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

RHBBANK closed with a spinning top @ RM5.48 (-0.06, -1.1%) with high volume done at 16.0m shares on 7 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM5.30, immediate resistance @ RM5.50.



RHBBANK ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

RHBBANK gapped down and closed with a spinning top @ RM5.54 (-0.17, -3%) with high volume done at 23.3m shares on 6 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM5.30, immediate resistance @ RM5.63.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1325 on: March 08, 2019, 10:56:46 AM »
Vodafone: Huawei ban would cost the UK its leadership role and delay 5G deployment by a year ~ 7 Mar 2019
https://www.totaltele.com/502409/Vodafone-Huawei-ban-would-cost-the-UK-its-leadership-role-and-delay-5G-deployment-by-a-year

GIC to pick up Bharti Airtel stake in third-biggest India investment ~ 7 Mar 2019
https://www.vccircle.com/gic-to-invest-714-mn-in-bharti-airtel
Singtel’s effective interest in Airtel will be 35.2% after the completion of the rights issue, and it will remain the single-largest shareholder in the telecom operator.

Bharti Airtel's infusion of up to Rs 25,000 crore not enough to stabilise its credit rating ~ 6 Mar 2019
https://www.timesnownews.com/business-economy/companies/article/bharti-airtels-infusion-of-up-to-rs-25000-crore-not-enough-to-stabilise-its-credit-rating/377899
Another credit rating agency Moody's Investor Service had come out with different perspective on the proposed rights issue. Moody's said that the Airtel's proposed rights issue is "credit positive" as it will enable the company to pare debt and improve liquidity. The Moody's statement said it still expects a significant portion of proceeds from the rights issue to be used to lower debt, strengthening Airtel's balance sheet and providing the company with greater financial and operational flexibility for its Indian operations. "But Bharti's ratings are unlikely to change in the near-term as we expect leverage will remain elevated while profitability and cash flow of the company's core Indian mobile segment remain under pressure," it said.

Singtel and Optus’ outlook downgraded to negative: Moody’s ~ 6 Mar 2019
https://www.ig.com/sg/news-and-trade-ideas/shares-news/singtel-and-optus-outlook-downgraded-to-negative--moodys-190306
An intense price competition in Singapore and Australia is pointing to lower average revenue per user and profitability in both markets while the subscription to India's Bharti Airtel rights issue would raise its risks.

Singtel net profit falls 14%, hurt by competition in India ~ 13 Feb 2019
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/14/singtel-q3-net-profit-falls-14-percent-hurt-by-regional-associates.html
  • On Thursday, Singapore Telecommunications reported a 14% drop in third-quarter net profit.
  • This is due partly to intense competition in India and the impact of network investments by regional associates, and forecast a small decline in full-year earnings.
  • Singtel said it now expects group earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) for the full year to decline by a low single digit, versus its previous forecast for EBITDA to be stable.
DBS Group Research maintained BUY on Singtel, TP S$3.50 ~ 11 Feb 2019
https://researchwise.dbsvresearch.com/ResearchManager/DownloadResearch.aspx?E=ecffbkQEByd191c2VyaWRAQA==
Accumulate for 5.7% yield - Bharti comes free.

UOB maintained BUY on Singtel TP $3.58 ~ 2 Feb 2019
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/netlink-nbn-trust-singtel-among-uobs-top-alpha-picks-feb

OCBC maintained BUY on Singtel TP $4.15 ~ 21 Feb 2018
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/time-investors-switch-out-starhub-singtel-says-ocbc
OCBC is recommending that investors switch out of StarHub and into Singtel given the latter’s diversified and more stable earnings base, and being the only telco whose latest earnings results met the research house’s expectations. This comes as the research house maintains its “neutral” view on the local telco sector, with a “buy” recommendation for Singtel at a fair value estimate of $4.15, and “sell” for StarHub with a $2.20 fair value.

Telecom infrastructure services slump to continue until at least 2020: TBR ~ 2 May 2017
https://disruptive.asia/telecom-infrastructure-services-slump/


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1326 on: March 08, 2019, 01:51:40 PM »
苏小妹:

重看2016年6月21日,Bernstein analyst Vitaly Umansky对云顶的预测和评语:

云顶新加坡在Jeju IR的投资项目已经跑路了!(Genting Singapore abandoned Jeju IR in 2016)

另一个关于云顶(GENTING 3182)旗下的拉斯维加斯名胜世界(Resorts World Las Vegas)却是问题多多。


Cover Story: Challenges for Genting ~ 31 Jan 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/cover-story-challenges-genting
It is worth noting that Genting has indicated its interest in competing for a share of the Japanese market via its 52.75%-owned Genting Singapore Ltd — the operator of Resorts World Sentosa in the city state.



Genting agrees to alter Resorts World Las Vegas design ~ 29 Jan 2019
https://calvinayre.com/2019/01/29/casino/genting-agrees-alter-resorts-world-las-vegas-design/

Genting Singapore pondering Japan locale as domestic revenue shows gradual growth ~ 8 Nov 2018
https://www.asgam.com/index.php/2018/11/08/genting-singapore-pondering-japan-locale-as-domestic-revenue-shows-gradual-growth/

Genting Singapore exits South Korea Casino Project to re-focus on Japan ~ 17 Nov 2016
https://www.forbes.com/sites/muhammadcohen/2016/11/17/genting-singapore-exits-south-korea-casino-project-to-re-focus-on-japan/#12b5d95e7c70
Genting Singapore ditches 50% stake in Jeju IR for US$420m (equivalent to S$588m). Genting Singapore announced that Algona, a direct wholly-owned subsidiary, entered into a conditional sale and purchase agreement with Landing International Development Limited (LIDL) to dispose of its 100% interest in Callisto Business Limited (Callisto) for a consideration of approximately US$420m (equivalent to S$588m).

Genting Singapore pumps more investment in S.Korea casino project ~ 21 Jun 2016
https://calvinayre.com/2016/06/21/casino/genting-singapore-ups-investment-in-s-korea/
  • Bernstein analyst Vitaly Umansky expressed concern that Genting’s management may be destroying shareholder value by investing company cash in terrible projects.
  • A significant concern would be if Genting Singapore became involved in Genting Bhd’s development of Resorts World Las Vegas, which we view as a low ROI project.”
苏小妹:

蝴蝶形态向下降反转的 “point C”你答对了。给你一个赞!
:thumbsup:

Genting SP ~ Bearish Bat formation, downside biased

Genting SP closed with an inverted hammer @ S$1.01 (-0.01, -1.0%) with 37.3m shares done on 6 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.00, immediate Resistance @ S$1.05.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1327 on: March 08, 2019, 04:32:27 PM »
苏小妹:

钻石与黄金,不及我一片真诚与真心。

“钻石,钻石亮晶晶,好像天上掉下的星...." - 姚苏蓉

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pa6ogjtT-IQ

MATRIX (5236) ~ Diamond formation

MATRIX closed with a black marubozu @ RM1.95 (-0.01, -0.5%) with thin volume done at 95,000 shares on 7 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM1.94, immediate resistance @ RM1.99.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1328 on: March 08, 2019, 07:50:28 PM »
苏小妹:

你懂得区分庄家拉高价格跑路是以什么角度吗? (Identify and differentiate by an angle of 30°,45°,60° and 90°)

It is important to know how to set stop-loss (SL) and take-profit or target profit (TP) levels. These 2 are the most significant elements of trade management. A stop-loss is to limit the losses on an open position. A take-profit is to close a position when a certain price reaches a specified price level in profit (in-the-money).


SGX ~ Bearish Double Top Breakout, downside biased

SGX closed with a black marubozu @ S$7.76 (-0.16, -2%) with 3.27m shares on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$7.65, strong resistance @ S$7.90.



苏小妹:

你知道SGX哪一个向上突破是最斜峭?价位在那里?


SGX ~ Double Top formation

SGX closed with a spinning top @ S$7.89 (+0.05, +0.6%) with 3.10m shares on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$7.77, strong resistance @ S$8.06.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1329 on: March 09, 2019, 07:17:23 AM »
苏小妹:

"Greed has no boundaries" -- Aristotle




World’s top-performing stock halted after mysterious 8,500% gain ~ 8 Mar 2019
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/world-s-top-performing-stock-halted-after-mysterious-8-500-gain-1.1225753
DYF’s surge added to a long list of extreme, unexplained stock swings in Hong Kong that have threatened to dent the city’s reputation as one of the world’s premier financial hubs. Its suspension puts a spotlight on MSCI Inc.’s decision to add DYF to its global benchmark indexes in November, a move that prompted emerging market index-tracker funds run by BlackRock Inc., Vanguard Group Inc. and Northern Trust Corp. to become some of DYF’s biggest shareholders.



苏小妹:

“The trend is your friend, until the end when it bends.”


Best World (weekly) ~ Bearish Tower Top Breakout


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1330 on: March 09, 2019, 09:59:38 AM »
"Economic history is a never-ending series of episodes based on falsehoods and lies, not truths. It represents the path to big money. The object is to recognize the trend whose premise is false, ride that trend and step off before it is discredited." - George Soros

How a lizard moves its tail. :party: :party: :party:
When a lizard moves its tail to the right; it is a 'casino stock'.  :D :D :D
When a lizard moves its tail to the left; it is a 'con stock'. :speechless: :speechless: :speechless:
When a lizard hardly moves its tail; it is a 'dead stock'.  :P :P :P



IFCAMSC ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal, critical support @ RM0.335

IFCAMSC closed with a white marubozu @ RM0.44 (+0.035, +8.6%) with 33.8m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM0.405, immediate resistance @ RM0.45.



IFCAMSC ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

IFCAMSC closed with a dark cloud cover @ RM0.305 (-0.005, -1.6%) with 5.24m shares done on 15 Aug 2018.

Immediate support @ RM0.29, immediate resistance @ RM0.34.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1331 on: March 09, 2019, 10:21:51 AM »
苏小妹:

你懂得区分IFCAMSC和Silverlake Axis的庄家拉高价格跑路是以什么角度吗? (Identify and differentiate by an angle of 30°,45°,60° and 90°)

注:使用「标准模板」就可以了。(Just use the standard template)


IFCAMSC ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal, critical support @ RM0.335

IFCAMSC closed with a white marubozu @ RM0.44 (+0.035, +8.6%) with 33.8m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM0.405, immediate resistance @ RM0.45.



Silverlake Axis ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

Silverlake Axis closed with a doji unchanged @ S$0.57 with 3.22m shares on 1 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.555, strong resistance @ S$0.595.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1332 on: March 09, 2019, 02:42:04 PM »
苏小妹:

愿赌服输,止损保本。When wrong must cut loss fast.

如果当日(2015年8月6日下午五点收市之前),我没有及时卖掉IFCAMSC的股票于RM0.82;恐怕到现在(2019年3月8日的收市价于RM0.44),我还翻不了本啊!

I cut loss on IFCAMSC intraday @ RM0.835 on 6 Aug 2015; stop loss was placed @ RM0.82 then.




IFCAMSC ~ Bearish Bollinger Band Breakout

IFCAMSC closed with a black marubozu @ RM0.76 (-0.05, -6.2%) with high volume done at 29.4m shares on 14 Aug 2015.

Immediate support @ RM0.74, immediate resistance @ RM0.82.



IFCAMSC ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

IFCAMSC closed with a dark cloud cover @ RM0.305 (-0.005, -1.6%) with 5.24m shares done on 15 Aug 2018.

Immediate support @ RM0.29, immediate resistance @ RM0.34.



IFCAMSC ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal, critical support @ RM0.335

IFCAMSC closed with a white marubozu @ RM0.44 (+0.035, +8.6%) with 33.8m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM0.405, immediate resistance @ RM0.45.



横看成岭侧成峰,远近高低各不同。
不识庐山真面目,只缘身在此山中。


IFCAMSC peaked @ RM1.85 on 20 May 2015 and hit a double bottom @ RM0.185 on 30 Oct 2018 and 18 Dec 2018.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1333 on: March 10, 2019, 01:21:11 PM »
Maybank upgraded PADINI from HOLD to BUY, TP RM$4.05 ~ 28 Feb 2019
https://s3-ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com/investingnote-production-webbucket/attachments/181f659d41542686381a1fcb166c6093f2838848.pdf

PADINI ~ Bearish Rounding Top / Bear Flag, interim TP RM3.15

PADINI closed with a hanging man @ RM3.77 (-0.08, -2.1%) with 4.05m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM3.68, immediate resistance @ RM3.85.



PADINI ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

PADINI closed with a black marubozu @ RM2.55 (-0.05, -1.9%) with 1.33m shares done on 2 Dec 2016.

Immediate support @ RM2.51, immediate resistance @ RM2.65.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1334 on: March 10, 2019, 02:15:19 PM »
苏小妹:

对比PADINI(2019年3月8日)与PARKSON(2014年10月17日)的反转形态之圆弧顶向下突破;你觉得这两张图形是否很相似?

你会预测PADINI的价格反弹之后,随后可能继续大幅暴跌如同PARKSON吗?

「已有的事后必再有,已行的事后必再行,日光之下并无新事。」


PADINI ~ Bearish Rounding Top / Bear Flag, interim TP RM3.15

PADINI closed with a hanging man @ RM3.77 (-0.08, -2.1%) with 4.05m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM3.68, immediate resistance @ RM3.85.



PARKSON (5657) ~ Bearish Rounding Top Breakout ~ 17 Oct 2014

Parkson closed @ RM2.56 on 17 Oct 2014.



PARKSON (5657) ~ Fall off the cliff

PARKSON closed with an inverted hammer unchanged @ RM0.64 with 810,000 shares done on 24 May 2017.

Immediate support @ RM0.615, immediate resistance @ RM0.65.



PARKSON (5657) ~ Trading in a rectangle

Parkson closed with a hammer @ RM0.235 (-0.005, -2.1%) with 620,000 shares done on 26 Feb 2019.

Immediate support @ RM0.225, immediate resistance @ RM0.25.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1335 on: March 10, 2019, 03:58:35 PM »
苏小妹:

以下这4只圆弧顶的股票除了PADINI(2019年)还是个未知数,其它3只股票的结果简直是「惨不忍睹」。


典型的反转形态之圆弧顶向下突破图形例子:(Typical examples of bearish rounding top breakout chart pattern)
  • PADINI(2019年)
  • StarHub(2016年)
  • SuperGroup (2015年)
  • PARKSON(2014年)
PADINI ~ Bearish Rounding Top / Bear Flag, interim TP RM3.15

PADINI closed with a hanging man @ RM3.77 (-0.08, -2.1%) with 4.05m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM3.68, immediate resistance @ RM3.85.



StarHub ~ Bearish Rounding Top Breakout ~ 13 Oct 2016

StarHub closed @ S$3.43 on 13 Oct 2016.



SuperGroup ~ Bearish Rounding Top Breakout ~ 5 Aug 2015

SuperGroup @ S$0.93 on 5 Aug 2015 at 1530 hrs.



PARKSON (5657) ~ Bearish Rounding Top Breakout ~ 17 Oct 2014

Parkson closed @ RM2.56 on 17 Oct 2014.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1336 on: March 10, 2019, 05:09:02 PM »
苏小妹:

Thomson Medical Group的图形像一个超级大屁股。


Thomson Medical Group ~ Double Bottom formation

Thomson Medical Group closed with a hammer unchanged @ S$0.077 with 19.6m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.074, immediate resistance @ S$0.08.



Thomson Medical Group ~ Bearish Bollinger Breakout, TP S$0.07

Thomson Medical Group closed with an inverted hammer unchanged @ S$0.085 with 6.64m shares done on 28 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.083, immediate resistance @ S$0.088.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1337 on: March 11, 2019, 07:53:36 AM »
AMMB Q3 net profit jumps nearly 60% to RM349.8m ~ 21 Feb 2019
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2019/02/21/ammb-q3-net-profit-jumps-nearly-60pct-to-rm349pt8m/
AMMB's earnings climbed by 59.7% to RM349.87mil in the third quarter ended Dec 31, 2018 from a year ago, boosted by higher lending volume, lower cost base and increase in recoveries. The banking group announced on Thursday the net profit a year ago was RM218.97mil. Its revenue increased by 6.5% to RM2.30bil from RM2.26bil. Earnings per share were 11.63 sen compared with 7.28 sen. When compared with the second quarter ended Sept 30, 2018 (Q2 FY19), the net profit in the just ended quarter was just up 0.5% from RM348.15mil. Revenue slipped 0.6% from RM2.32bil in Q2.

AMBank (1015) ~ ~ Bullish Symmetrical Triangle Breakout, strong resistance @ RM4.72.

AMBank closed with a hanging man unchanged @ RM4.50 with 3.46m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM4.40, immediate resistance @ RM4.59.



Symmetrical Triangle (Continuation)
https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:symmetrical_triangle_continuation



AmFraser goes to trial over $1.88m suit against former client ~ 8 Jul 2016
http://www.straitstimes.com/business/amfraser-goes-to-trial-over-188m-suit-against-former-client



Singapore authorities raid local brokerages ~ 22 Apr 2016
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/04/22/singapore-authorities-raid-local-brokerages.html

China Development Unit to acquire Singapore's AmFraser Securities ~ 25 Aug 2014
http://www.wsj.com/articles/china-development-unit-kgi-to-acquire-singapores-amfraser-securities-1408980744

Don’t be fooled by the high trading volume ~ 23 Aug 2014
http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2014/08/23/dont-be-fooled-by-the-high-trading-volume/

投资小股失利.传兴业资本损失2千万 ~ 3 May 2014
http://www.sinchew.com.my/node/412076

Significant signs of syndicate presence in Vis, Itronic, MNC and Solution ~ 30 Apr 2014
http://www.faizalyusup.net/2014/04/penerangan-mengenai-kejatuhan-saham-vis.html

Offshore broker’s role іn penny stock crash

Court papers filed bу US firm shed disturbing light οn stock trio debacle

Bу Goh Eng Yeow
Jan 13, 2014

AS THE nеw year gets under way, hope springs eternal thаt thе penny stock market wіll mаkе a strong comeback despite thе bashing іt received three months ago.

Nеw players аrе іn vogue, replacing those thаt hаνе fallen bу thе wayside аftеr thеу collapsed tο a fraction οf thеіr year-high price іn thе dramatic October crash.

Traders аrе hopeful thаt thе Year οf thе Horse wіll cause thе stock market tο gallop іn price, уеt аt thе back οf thеіr minds іѕ one bіg concern: Wіll аnу penny stock revival bе thе real McCoy?

Concerns centre οn thе outcome οf thе investigation being conducted bу thе Monetary Authority οf Singapore (MAS) аnd Singapore Exchange (SGX) over thе odd trading activity surrounding thе stock trio – Asiasons Capital, Blumont  Group аnd LionGold Corp – before thеу crashed, wiping out over $8 billion іn value іn days.

Thеrе hаνе bееn аll sorts οf rumours аnd allegations circulating іn thе market οn hοw thе three counters achieved spectacular price surges last year аnd thеіr subsequent crash.

None οf thеѕе rumours hаѕ bееn substantiated, bυt a court document filed here bу United States online brokerage Interactive Brokers sheds ѕοmе light.

Interactive hаѕ аѕkеd a court tο freeze thе assets οf eight οf іtѕ clients – six individuals аnd two companies – thаt lost аlmοѕt $80 million іn total frοm thе stock debacle.

Thаt court document mаkеѕ fοr depressing reading. Thе allegation іt contains seems tο suggest hοw easy іt іѕ tο subvert thе local stock market using аn offshore brokerage account.

It begs thе qυеѕtіοn аѕ tο whether offshore brokers hаνе рυt sufficient checks іn рlасе tο ѕtοр a stock manipulator frοm using thеіr trading platforms tο manipulate prices іn Singapore’s market.

Hοw dοеѕ аn offshore broker check іf thе accounts thаt аrе opened wіth іt аrе genuine οr nοt? And οn whаt criteria dοеѕ іt extend loans οn thе shares pledged tο іt аѕ collateral fοr share trading?

Wουld thе malfeasance whісh Interactive purportedly uncovered еνеr come tο light, іf іtѕ erstwhile clients hаd nοt failed tο mаkе gοοd οn thе massive losses whісh thеу hаd sustained іn punting thе stock trio?

Interactive dеѕсrіbеѕ itself аѕ аn online broker catering tο well-heeled  individuals аnd institutions. It ѕауѕ іt dοеѕ nοt еmрlοу аnу human “brokers” οr “advisers”. All trading іѕ done online bу customers οr bу independent financial advisers appointed bу thеm.

In hindsight, thіѕ wουld appear tο mаkе іt far easier fοr a person tο open a trading account wіth Interactive Brokers thаn wіth аnу οf thе nine traditional brokerages here serving retail investors. Thіѕ іѕ bесаυѕе thе SGX requires thе client tο turn up іn person аt thе brokerage.

Interactive ѕаіd іt wаѕ οnlу аftеr thе parties failed tο mаkе gοοd thеіr losses whеn thе stock trio collapsed thаt іt investigated further аnd found  thаt thеrе wаѕ something amiss.

Tο adhere tο Singapore’s regulations, іtѕ policy hаѕ bееn tο prevent customers, whose legal residence іѕ іn Singapore, frοm trading Singapore-listed stocks.

Bυt іt claimed thаt thеѕе parties “deliberately misled Interactive аnd/οr engaged іn multiple non-disclosures whеn applying tο open thеіr respective… accounts”.

Thе six individuals hаd listed themselves аѕ Malaysians аnd given Malaysian residential аnd mailing addresses, whіlе thе two companies wеrе listed аѕ British V-irgin Island-registered entities.

Bυt further checks аftеr thе stock trio’s crash suggested thаt “thеу аrе lіkеlу tο bе resident іn Singapore аnd/οr hаνе a sufficient connection wіth Singapore”.

Interactive noted thе eight parties hаd appointed thе same financial adviser, Algo Capital Group, whісh operates out οf a Bishan address tο trade οn thеіr behalf. Thеу hаd аlѕο borrowed large sums tο bυу substantial stakes іn Blumont, Asiasons аnd LionGold.

Bυt whаt mυѕt surely take thе cake іѕ Interactive’s belated acknowledgement thаt “many οf thе trades appear tο serve nο economic purpose аnd appear now tο hаνе bееn undertaken іn a manner possibly tο manipulate thе share prices οf thе companies concerned”.

Interactive noted thаt Algo οftеn accounted fοr “substantial рοrtіοnѕ οf thе volume οf total daily trades іn LionGold shares, аnd even exceeded 80 per cent οf thе total trading volume οn сеrtаіn days”.

Thе same trading pattern exists іn Asiasons, whеrе Algo’s trading volume “wаѕ аѕ much аѕ 67 per cent οn ѕοmе days”.

“(Algo) οftеn sold a large block οf shares аt a given price іn one οr more οf thе (parties’) accounts, thеn quickly re-рυrсhаѕеd approximately thе same number οf shares аt thе same price, putting thе accounts back whеrе thеу ѕtаrtеd, bυt giving thе market thе appearance thаt thе stocks wеrе more heavily traded thаn thеу really wеrе,” іt alleged.

Now, іf аnу remisier іѕ ѕο brazen аѕ tο indulge іn similar trading behaviour, hе wіll surely bе hauled up bу thе SGX’s market surveillance team fοr questioning.

Thе qυеѕtіοn іѕ thаt ѕіnсе Interactive іѕ based offshore serving foreign customers, whose responsibility іѕ іt tο ensure thаt іt іѕ up tο scratch іn keeping similar market misbehaviour аt bay?

Of course, іt іѕ difficult tο tеll hοw much truth thеrе іѕ іn Interactive’s claims ѕіnсе іtѕ objective іѕ tο recover аѕ much οf іtѕ losses аѕ possible.

Bυt unless thе MAS аnd SGX conclude thеіr probe speedily, thе uncertainties wіll continue tο cast a pall over thе market аnd mаkе retail investors even more cynical аbουt penny stocks. It іѕ іn thе best interests οf аll tο mаkе haste οn thе investigation.

AmBank makes RM40m provision for stock price fallout at Singapore unit ~ 13 Nov 2013
http://www.thesundaily.my/news/880071


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1338 on: March 11, 2019, 08:04:00 AM »
马电讯 今年财测砍4% ~ 28 Feb 2019
http://www.enanyang.my/news/20190228/%E9%A9%AC%E7%94%B5%E8%AE%AFbr-%E4%BB%8A%E5%B9%B4%E8%B4%A2%E6%B5%8B%E7%A0%8D4/
MIDF maintained SELL on TM, TP RM2.33.

Intended sale of two office towers seen to cut down TM’s debt ~ 28 Feb 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/intended-sale-two-office-towers-seen-cut-down-tms-debt
PublicInvest maintained BUY on TM, TP RM3.60.

TM (4863) ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

TM closed with a spinning top @ RM3.18 (-0.02, -0.6%) with 5.57m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM3.12, immediate resistance @ RM3.28.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1339 on: March 11, 2019, 08:49:06 AM »
苏小妹:

对比Axiata的反弹力度接近50% FIBO, 很明显它是比M1的下降旗形强的多。所以形态就能从下降旗形演变成蝴蝶形。
(Different from M1's bear flag; Axiata transforms from a bear flag to a bearish bat chart pattern)

根据蝴蝶形态典型的向下降反转理论(Bearish Bat);Axiata的股价走势会渐渐向下降到 “point C”才会反弹。

你懂得怎样预测“买”(point C)和“卖”(point D)在什么价位吗?


Axiata is said to revive IPO of US$2.5b tower arm edotco ~ 27 Feb 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/axiata-said-revive-ipo-us25b-tower-arm-edotco
Axiata may seek to raise at least US$500 million from the IPO of edotco Group Sdn Bhd.

Malaysia's Axiata swings to profit on cost cuts, data earnings ~ 22 Feb 2019
https://www.reuters.com/article/axiata-group-results/malaysias-axiata-swings-to-profit-on-cost-cuts-data-earnings-idUSL4N1QC3CT
Axiata reported a fourth quarter net profit of RM24.7m after a net loss of RM309.5m a year earlier, helped by cost cutting and rising data earnings. Revenue rise was fuelled by the data business that contributed 49.2% to service revenue compared to 37.9% a year earlier. EBITDA increased by 17.5% q-o-q driven by strong increase in revenue growth and cost optimisation drive across the group.

Axiata's M1 sale provides timely capital for future investment ~ 18 Feb 2019
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2019/02/18/axiatas-m1-exit-provides-timely-capital-for-future-investment/
Affin Hwang Capital research maintained HOLD on Axiata, TP RM3.63. To recap, Axiata announced that it had accepted the voluntary conditional general offer by Konnectivity for its entire 28.7% stake in M1 with an estimated gains of RM126.5mil. According to Affin Hwang, Axiata's investment in M1 had steadily contributed to Axiata's growth over years with dividends amounting to RM1.1bil in the last 10 years.

AXIATA ~ Bearish Bat formation

Axiata closed with an inverted hammer @ RM4.16 (-0.03, -0.7%) with 3.20m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM4.01, immediate resistance @ RM4.23.





苏小妹:

对比 Axiata 和 M1 这两张下降尖旗形图表;在形态上极其相似。


AXIATA ~ Bear Pennant Breakout

Axiata gapped down and closed with a black marubozu @ RM3.45 (-0.07, -2%) with 3.99m shares done on 13 Nov 2018.

Immediate support @ RM3.37, immediate resistance @ RM3.50.



M1 peaked @ S$3.78 on 2 Mar 2015 and hit a last low of S$1.46 on 22 Jun 2018.

M1 ~ Bear Pennant Breakout

M1 closed with a spinning top @ S$3.11 (-0.02, -0.6%) with 960,000 shares done on 3 Aug 2015.

Immediate support @ S$3.09, immediate resistance @ S$3.16.



M1 ~ Bear Pennant Breakout

M1 closed with a hammer @ S$2.61 (+0.01, +0.4%) with 1.35m shares done on 18 Jan 2016.

Immediate support @ S$2.50, immediate resistance @ S$2.68.



M1 ~ Trading in a rectangle between S$2.08 and S$2.13

M1 closed with a white marubozu unchanged @ S$2.11 with 540,000 shares done on 13 Nov 2018.

Immediate support @ S$2.08, immediate resistance @ S$2.13.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1340 on: March 11, 2019, 09:18:25 AM »
苏小妹:

对比Axiata(接近50% FIBO)与TM(>23.6% FIBO),很明显Axiata的反弹力度是强的多。

两只股票都属于“死猫跳”;重点是回落后,能否再反复反弹和维持强劲的交易量。


AXIATA ~ Bearish Bat formation

Axiata closed with an inverted hammer @ RM4.16 (-0.03, -0.7%) with 3.20m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM4.01, immediate resistance @ RM4.23.



TM (4863) ~ Intermediate Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

TM closed with a spinning top @ RM3.18 (-0.02, -0.6%) with 5.57m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ RM3.12, immediate resistance @ RM3.28.




Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1341 on: March 11, 2019, 09:38:37 AM »
Real interest rates in Asia: Room to ease ~ 8 Mar 2019
https://s3-ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com/investingnote-production-webbucket/attachments/233ac8df3a6ab0d9184cb991e006f63039be54e2.?1552267699

AmBank Research expects Bank Negara to cut rate by 25bps in July ~ 6 Mar 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/ambank-research-expects-bank-negara-cut-rate-25bps-july

Singapore's OCBC shocks with near 2-year low quarterly profit, cautious on outlook ~ 22 Feb 2019
https://www.todayonline.com/singapore/singapore-lender-ocbcs-q4-profit-falls-10-cautions-economic-growth
In contrast, domestic peer UOB reported a 7% rise in fourth-quarter net profit and DBS posted an 8% profit increase.

OCBC ~ Trading in a rectangle, downside biased「长期高价位盘整」

OCBC gapped down and closed with an inverted hammer @ S$11.05 (-0.15, -1.3%) with 5.44m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$10.93, immediate resistance @ S$11.30.



OCBC ~ Trading in a rectangle, downside biased

OCBC closed with a spinning top @ S$11.22 (+0.02, +0.2%) with 2.94m shares done on 6 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$11.00, immediate resistance @ S$11.30.


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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1342 on: March 11, 2019, 11:07:50 AM »
苏小妹:

重点是注意今天(2019年3月11日)StarHub的收市价和成交量。


1.  When a stock is in a bear-market territory, the last low will be retested and the share price will move much further down, forming a new record low.

2.  Dead cat bounce is a strong SELL signal; RUN-ROAD (short) and BUY-BACK (cover-short) at lower prices to make a profit.

StarHub ~ Trading in a rectangle, interim TPS$1.21 (critical support @ S$1.51)

Starhub had a hammer and traded @ S$1.51 (-0.03, -1.9%) with high volume done at 5.27m shares on 11 Mar 2019 at 1100 hrs.

Critical support @ S$1.44, immediate resistance @ S$1.58.



StarHub ~ Interim target projection = S$1.21 or 61.8% from S$2.76 ~ 20 Feb 2019

Starhub closed with a hammer @ S$1.63 (-0.01, -0.6%) with 4.05m shares done on 20 Feb 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.54, immediate resistance @ S$1.68.



StarHub ~ Bearish Rounding Top Breakout ~ 13 Oct 2016

StarHub closed @ S$3.43 on 13 Oct 2016.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1343 on: March 11, 2019, 11:31:51 AM »
苏小妹:

重点是注意今天(2019年3月11日)StarHub的收市价和成交量。

苏小妹:

如果StarHub今天(2019年3月11日)收市价重量穿破 S$1.51(1st critical support level),随后又再穿破S$1.44(2nd critical support level);那就显示大户集体「卖空」StarHub。(If StarHub breaks the last low @ S$1.51 and hits a lower low @ S$1.44 (with extreme high volume); the 2nd candlestick breakdown is a confirmation of a bearish rectangle breakout, it means no double bottom reversal.)

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1344 on: March 11, 2019, 12:42:22 PM »
苏小妹:

《成也萧何败也萧何》The positive image illusion:  Singapore banks; DBS, UOB and UOB bank stocks contribute almost 50% to the Straits Times Index

苏小妹:

Performance chart of STI vs DBS, UOB and OCBC as at 8 Mar 2019 reflected a clear picture of the Straits Times Index, i.e. only the 3 Singapore banks; DBS, UOB and UOB are doling well. However, if the US's interest rate hikes continue, their share prices would be affected. So, watch the interest rate and the 3 Singapore banks closely as the STI badly depends on them to reverse its intermediate pullback.


鲍威尔:对加息要保持耐心 美联储将公布缩表计划细节 ~ 11 Mar 2019
https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2019-03-11/doc-ihsxncvh1447198.shtml
Rising interest rates may hurt dividend-paying stocks, defensive sectors, and large caps more than their counterparts.

Real interest rates in Asia: Room to ease ~ 8 Mar 2019
https://s3-ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com/investingnote-production-webbucket/attachments/233ac8df3a6ab0d9184cb991e006f63039be54e2.?1552267699

How to trade Singapore bank stocks ~ 19 Feb 2019
https://www.ig.com/sg/news-and-trade-ideas/shares-news/how-to-trade-singapore-bank-stocks--190219
The trio of Singapore banks takes up the lion’s share on the local Straits Times Index, correspondingly affecting the movements of the index.

DBS ~ Trading in a rectangle, downside biased「长期高价位盘整」

DBS gapped down and closed with a shooting star @ S$25.06 (-0.26, -1%) with 4.12m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$24.50, strong resistance @ S$25.26.



UOB ~ Trading in a rectangle, downside biased「长期高价位盘整」

UOB gapped down and closed with an inverted hammer @ S$24.91 (-0.26, -1%) with 2.26m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$25.22, immediate resistance @ S$24.70.



OCBC ~ Trading in a rectangle, downside biased「长期高价位盘整」

OCBC gapped down and closed with an inverted hammer @ S$11.05 (-0.15, -1.3%) with 5.44m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$10.93, immediate resistance @ S$11.30.



Performance chart: STI vs DBS, UOB and OCBC ~ 8 Mar 2019



1-in-4 SGX listed companies in the red; total profits down 19%

'Earnings recession' could spill over into first quarter 2019 amid trade war, says DBS

By Anita Gabriel
Thu, Mar 07, 2019 - 5:50 am

SINGAPORE's latest earnings season is tapering off with over 300 companies having given investors the chance to do a reality check.

The verdict so far: one in four companies was in the red, according to data compiled by The Business Times, and overall, total earnings of almost S$40 billion were down 19 per cent. The big downers include telcos and commodities, with risk aversion amid a slowing global economy and trade war fears taking a toll on many corporates.

Among the 30 Singapore Exchange heavyweights that make up the Straits Times Index, there were as many misses as there were hits.

"Broadly, the earnings season had been rather sluggish for the local market, a trend cutting across the region," said IG Markets' Jingyi Pan.

As of last Friday evening, 336 SGX companies have issued report cards for the full year ended December 2018. BT's computation showed that among those in the black, more pared their profit than raised it - 115 vs 105.

Of those mired in losses, 24 sank deeper into the red while 33 posted smaller losses. A total of 29 companies swung back to earnings from losses, while 27 suffered a reverse fate.

"Generally speaking, macroeconomic and trade headwinds put pressure on Singapore listed companies at the end of 2018, as many companies suffered unrealised fair value losses in investment securities and a challenging operating environment," said CMC Markets' Margaret Yang.

The fourth-quarter reports especially were a let-down and signalled a "deepening earnings recession", said DBS Group Research.

Its prognosis is even less cheerful: "We maintain our view that the earnings recession trend will extend for another quarter into first quarter FY2019 given the US-China trade uncertainties, before it ends."

There has been some optimism of late as the world's two largest economies reach the finish line of a trade deal but analysts say uncertainties still abound.

Singapore's three banking bigwigs - DBS, OCBC and UOB - recorded full-year record profits, but fourth-quarter numbers were moderated by December's global market sell-off.

For full year 2019, things could turn soft, warned Moody's Investors Service, as waning macro-economic conditions heighten asset risks and net interest margins stagnate on a slowing pace of interest rate hikes.

Telcos were hurt by intense competition and rising costs, with both StarHub and M1 slashing dividend payouts in light of further earnings weakness. The view for Singtel was downbeat with a pallid third quarter. Analysts believe things could get gloomier for the incumbents with the entry of Australian telco TPG, which could pile more pressure on the telcos' average revenue per user (ARPU).

Among industrials, higher fuel prices hurt Singapore Airlines' third-quarter bottomline but sequential improvement in load factors and non-fuel cost controls inspired expectations that things are getting better. Lower fuel costs and the carrier's ongoing transformation plan are also expected to lift revenue.

After drowning in the red for three quarters, Sembcorp Marine turned around for the final quarter with its full-year net loss of S$74 million beating analyst estimates, thanks to a surprise pick-up in the marine business.

That has imbued a little hope for the battered offshore and marine (O&M) space. But CMC's Ms Yang cautioned that while the "industrial group sees early sign of bottoming out in the O&M sector... a full turnaround is yet to come amid persistent supply-demand imbalances in offshore drilling segment".

"Crude oil prices need to not only gain further but also sustain at higher levels for longer to restore deep-sea exploration activities," Ms Yang added.

In the consumer space, Dairy Farm International's 2018 results were hit by hefty one-offs largely attributed to its Southeast Asian grocery store business. While the company has in place a transformation plan, analysts are not holding their breath as they reckon it would take more time before the regional operations see some light.

As for Singapore's popular real estate investment trusts, OCBC's research head Carmen Lee deemed their showing as "healthy" with average distribution per unit (DPU) up 2 per cent year-on-year.

The bulk of the S-Reits outperformance was due to one-off gains, said CGS-CIMB Research, referring to Ascott Residence Trust, CDL Hospitality Trust and CapitaLand Mall Trust, while it added that Parkway Life Reit and OUE Commercial Reit posted organic improvements in occupancy and operating performance.

Weak crude palm oil prices and downstream margins hurt Golden Agri-Resources which incurred a full-year net loss while Wilmar International benefited from higher margins from oilseeds. Wilmar is analysts' top pick among plantation companies, partly because of the imminent listing of its China business in Shanghai.

In the technology space, Venture Corp's "neat" set of fourth-quarter results sparked joy for OCBC Investment, while NetLink NBN Trust's third-quarter results exceeded its initial public offering (IPO) projections across several metrics including revenue and the number of residential fibre connections.

What does all this mean for the STI, which has closed two straight months with gains? There may be some upside since it has come off by some 1.6 per cent from its February high of 3,286 points.

Furthermore, DBS expects the upcoming April-May ex-dividend period to attract some bargain hunters. The house added that barring a negative turn in the macro backdrop, 3,500 by year end under its bull case scenario remains a possible outcome.

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1345 on: March 11, 2019, 02:30:08 PM »
Three black crows and three white knights candlestick pattern



SGX ~ Bearish Double Top Breakout, downside biased

SGX gapped down and formed a "three black crows" @ S$7.65 (-0.11, -1.4%) with 3.02m shares done on 11 Mar 2019 at 1420 hrs.

Immediate support @ S$7.51, strong resistance @ S$7.75.



SGX ~ Bearish Double Top Breakout, downside biased

SGX closed with a black marubozu @ S$7.76 (-0.16, -2%) with 3.27m shares on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$7.65, strong resistance @ S$7.90.


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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1346 on: March 11, 2019, 03:24:24 PM »
ComfortDelGro cabby drives until fainted on ECP expressway ~ 11 Mar 2019
https://www.theonlinecitizen.com/2019/03/11/comfortdelgro-cabby-drives-until-fainted-on-ecp-expressway/

ComfortDelgro ~ Bullish rounding Bottom / inverted head-and-shoulders reversal

ComfortDelgro closed with an inverted hammer @ S$2.41 (-0.03, -1.2%) with 6.95m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.34, strong resistance @ S$2.49.



ComfortDelgro ~ Bullish Rounding Bottom formation

ComfortDelgro closed with a spinning top @ S$2.25 (-0.12, -5.1%) with strong volume done at 18.4m shares on 10 Oct 2018.

Immediate support @ S$2.15, immediate resistance @ S$2.30.



ComfortDelgro (weekly) ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel ~ 10 Oct 2018


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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1347 on: March 11, 2019, 04:13:22 PM »
Imagine owning Sino Grandness and trying to stomach the 93% share price drop ~ 11 Mar 2019
https://simplywall.st/stocks/sg/food-beverage-tobacco/sgx-t4b/sino-grandness-food-industry-group-shares/news/imagine-owning-sino-grandness-food-industry-group-sgxt4b-and-trying-to-stomach-the-93-share-price-drop/

Sino Grandness ~ Dead cat bounce completed

Sino Grandness closed with a black marubozu @ S$0.045 (-0.005, -10%) with 5.56m shares done on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.033, immediate resistance @ S$0.055.



Sino Grandness ~ Bullish Trend Reversal (Dead Cat Bounce)

Sino Grandness closed with a bullish morning star @ S$0.059 (+0.012, +25.5%) with 11.7mm shares done on 30 Jan 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.033, immediate resistance @ S$0.075.



Sino Grandness ~ Bearish Rectangle Breakout, interim TP S$0.037

Sino Grandness closed with a black marubozu @ S$0.048 (-0.031, -31.4%) with 8.10m shares done on 28 Jan 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.037, immediate resistance @ S$0.062.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1348 on: March 12, 2019, 08:00:42 AM »
苏小妹:

SGX的庄家去年(2018年1月23日)和今年(2019年3月5日)都是以90°拉高价格;砸盘出货。「已有的事后必再有,已行的事后必再行,日光之下并无新事。」

It is important to know how to set stop-loss (SL) and take-profit or target profit (TP) levels. These 2 are the most significant elements of trade management. A stop-loss is to limit the losses on an open position. A take-profit is to close a position when a certain price reaches a specified price level in profit (in-the-money).


SGX ~ Bearish Double Top Breakout, critical support @ S$7.27

SGX gapped down and closed with a "three black crows" @ S$7.47 (-0.29, -3.7%) with high volume done at 8.51m shares on 11 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$7.35, immediate resistance @ S$7.75.



SGX ~ Bearish Double Top Breakout, downside biased

SGX gapped down and formed a "three black crows" @ S$7.65 (-0.11, -1.4%) with 3.02m shares done on 11 Mar 2019 at 1420 hrs.

Immediate support @ S$7.51, strong resistance @ S$7.75.



SGX ~ Bearish Double Top Breakout, downside biased

SGX closed with a black marubozu @ S$7.76 (-0.16, -2%) with 3.27m shares on 8 Mar 2019.

Immediate support @ S$7.65, strong resistance @ S$7.90.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1349 on: March 12, 2019, 09:32:47 AM »
苏小妹:

昨天(2019年3月11日)的收市价和成交量显示StarHub已经超卖;乘反弹分批卖出。

注:反弹结束如果「没力度支持」(no buying pressure)StarHub会创新低。


StarHub ~ Trading in a rectangle, interim TPS$1.21 (critical support @ S$1.51)

Starhub closed with a hammer @ S$1.51 (-0.03, -1.9%) with high volume done at 9.88m shares on 11 Mar 2019.

Critical support @ S$1.44, immediate resistance @ S$1.54.



StarHub ~ Trading in a rectangle, interim TPS$1.21 (critical support @ S$1.51)

Starhub had a hammer and traded @ S$1.51 (-0.03, -1.9%) with high volume done at 5.27m shares on 11 Mar 2019 at 1100 hrs.

Critical support @ S$1.44, immediate resistance @ S$1.58.



StarHub ~ Interim target projection = S$1.21 or 61.8% from S$2.76 ~ 20 Feb 2019

Starhub closed with a hammer @ S$1.63 (-0.01, -0.6%) with 4.05m shares done on 20 Feb 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.54, immediate resistance @ S$1.68.