Author Topic: Casino Stocks  (Read 578501 times)

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1550 on: July 26, 2019, 09:35:29 PM »
苏小妹:

CIMB 在2019年7月17日的「技术分析」对 AEM 起了正面的反应。因为隔天(2019年7月18日)的一根阳K线向上突破了对称三角形的形态。


CGS-CIMB upgraded AEM from Hold to Add with a TP of S$1.23 ~ 17 Jul 2019
https://brokingrfs.cimb.com/c9TPROcMVuDlm5c5z04FTjwCvnXZg7d5niJCq05WhHwaifdSn26cZyo22_nEq2XhzjKHqymetQe69A2.pdf
On the charts, immediate support at S$0.995–1.00 should hold in the near-term. If resistance is broken at S$1.08, the share price could move higher to the S$1.15-1.17 resistance area.

AEM ~ Bullish Symmetrical Triangle Breakout, strong resistance @ S$1.35

AEM closed with a white marubozu @ S$1.22 (+0.08, +07%) with 27.2m shares done on 26 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.12, immediate resistance @ S$1.265.



AEM ~ Bearish Symmetrical Triangle formation, downside biased

AEM closed with a hanging man @ S$1.02 (-0.01, -1%) with 4.39m shares done on 8 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.00, immediate resistance @ S$1.07.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1551 on: July 27, 2019, 09:54:51 AM »
苏小妹:

SPH最强的卖出信号(strong sell signal);是向下双顶颈线(double top neckline)在2018年10月11日,被延续的巨量向下突破的。


SPH ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$2.13

SPH closed with a long-legged doji @ S$2.24 (-0.01, -0.4%) with 3.68m shares done on 26 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.20, immediate resistance @ S$2.29.



SPH: Diamond chart pattern repeats on the same chart.
1.  Once you know what to look for, you see the familiar chart pattern appears again. 
2.  You know what that means? That means the same trade set-up in 2017 will be repeated in 2018.


SPH ~ Bearish Diamond Top Breakout, Measured Target S$2.34

SPH closed with a spinning top @ S$2.63 (+0.02, +0.8%) with 5.04m shares done on 6 Apr 2018.

Immediate support @ S$2.46, immediate resistance @ S$2.66.



SPH (weekly) ~ Bearish Diamond Top Breakout, Measured Target S$2.34 ~ 6 Apr 2018



SPH (weekly) ~ Bearish Diamond Top Breakout, Measured Target S$2.96 ~ 16 Jul 2017


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1552 on: July 27, 2019, 02:21:14 PM »
苏小妹:

典型的春夏秋冬图形比喻无论是大方向还是小方向,股票会有四个阶段。当股票已走过三个阶段:春、夏、秋,来到了最后一个阶段「冬」的时候;庄家一旦盘整完毕逃之夭夭,股价就会出现崩盘性的暴跌。


SI Research: TalkMed Group – An overlooked healthcare growth stock ~ 12 Jun 2019
http://aspire.sharesinv.com/61147/si-research-talkmed-group-an-overlooked-healthcare-growth-stock/

TalkMed ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

TalkMed closed @ S$0.495 with extremely thin volume done at 3,700 shares on 25 Jul 2019 (no trade done on 26 Jul 2019).



TalkMed (weekly) ~ 春夏秋冬图形 (AADD Chart Pattern)



TalkMed ~ Fall off the cliff

TalkMed gapped down and closed with a long-legged doji @ S$0.645 (-0.10, -13.4%) with 2.38m shares done on 28 Jun 2017.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1553 on: July 27, 2019, 02:30:03 PM »
苏小妹:

Global Testing Vs TalkMed ~  贼公计 Vs 小偷才
  :D

Global Testing (weekly) ~ 春夏秋冬图形 (AADD Chart Pattern)



TalkMed (weekly) ~ 春夏秋冬图形 (AADD Chart Pattern)


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1554 on: July 27, 2019, 07:04:20 PM »
SGX share price: what you should know ahead of its Q4, FY2019 results ~ 25 Jul 2019
https://www.ig.com/sg/news-and-trade-ideas/sgx-share-price--what-you-should-know-ahead-of-its-q4--fy2019-re-190725
SGX to report its Q4, FY2019 results after the market closes on Wednesday 31 July 2019. As of Thursday’s (25 July, 2019) price of S$8.05 per share, SGX stocks have risen by 12.3% year-to-date, from S$7.17 on 2 Jan 2019.

SGX ~  Trading in an upward sloping channel

SGX closed with a doji @ S$8.02 (-0.02, -0.2%) with 1.14m shares done on 26 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ S$7.85, immediate resistance @ S$8.05.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1555 on: July 27, 2019, 07:24:35 PM »
TEOSENG ~  Trading in an upward sloping channel

TEOSENG closed with a hammer @ RM1.14 (-0.02, -1.7%) with 1.48m shares done on 26 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ RM1.10, immediate resistance @ RM1.19.



潮成集团挑战RM1.27/敏源 ~ 23 Jul 2019
http://www.enanyang.my/news/20190723/%E6%BD%AE%E6%88%90%E9%9B%86%E5%9B%A2%E6%8C%91%E6%88%98rm1-27%E6%95%8F%E6%BA%90/
  • 潮成集团(TEOSENG,7252,主板消费股)于7月22日闭市时反弹了。它于闭市时收1.18令吉,按日涨4仙或3.51%。
  • 潮成集团的30分钟图表走势,于7月22日的交投走势突破顶头阻力线(B1:B2)。
  • 它的30分钟平滑异同移动均线指标(MACD),于7月22日的交投走势处于一个上升走势。
  • 它处于“0”支撑线上波动,潮成集团的后市交投走势,或会出现一段短线回试下限支持线的支撑(B1:B2)。
  • 潮成集团的日线图表走势于回试后,或会显现一段反弹走势,它或会挑战1.19-1.27令吉的阻力关口。

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1556 on: July 27, 2019, 07:38:31 PM »
苏小妹:

SGX Vs TEOSENG ~  Spot the difference

难道两个庄家都是毕业于同一间学校;又同时被同一个老师教的吗?


SGX ~  Trading in an upward sloping channel

SGX closed with a doji @ S$8.02 (-0.02, -0.2%) with 1.14m shares done on 26 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ S$7.85, immediate resistance @ S$8.05.



TEOSENG ~  Trading in an upward sloping channel

TEOSENG closed with a hammer @ RM1.14 (-0.02, -1.7%) with 1.48m shares done on 26 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ RM1.10, immediate resistance @ RM1.19.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1557 on: July 28, 2019, 10:02:02 AM »
苏小妹:

一旦支撑点RM4.98被巨量穿破,这意味着联昌国际的股价便会往下跌。


CIMB ~ Bearish Descending Triangle, critical support @ RM4.98

CIMB closed with a black marubozu @ RM5.14 (-0.03, -0.6%) with 7.08m shares done on 26 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ RM5.10, immediate resistance @ RM5.25.



CIMB ~ Bearish Descending Triangle, critical support @ RM4.98

CIMB closed with a white marubozu @ RM5.24 (+0.09, +1.7%) with 8.37m shares done on 19 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ RM5.10, immediate resistance @ RM5.35.



U.S. Fed's M2 shrinks amid interest rate cut expectations ~ 25 Jul 2019
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2019-07/26/c_138260128.htm
Market traders now bet the Fed would lower the interest rate at its policy meeting on July 30-31, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group FedWatch tool. The probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is close to 79%, while a 50-basis-point rate cut is close to 21%.

UOBKH maintained BUY on CIMB, TP RM6.50 ~ 25 Jul 2019
https://s3-ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com/investingnote-production-webbucket/attachments/56ea1a90e77ce16a7bb9d3604a2419659ff8a31b.pdf

联昌国际 不受印尼降息影响 ~ 23 Jul 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dcU5HkwvH3Q
Maybank maintained HOLD on CIMB, TP RM5.20.

联昌国际 财测目标不变 ~ 18 Jul 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k5W5D6yQoU4
Kenanga Investment maintained "outperform" on CIMB, TP RM6.25.

Bank Indonesia cuts rate in anticipation of Fed easing ~ 18 Jul 2019
https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Bank-Indonesia-cuts-rate-in-anticipation-of-Fed-easing
Bank Indonesia had held its benchmark rate steady for seven straight meetings, before the July 18 decision.

Indonesia central bank seen starting to cut rates before Fed moves: Reuters poll ~ 16 Jul 2019
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-indonesia-economy-rates/indonesia-central-bank-seen-starting-to-cut-rates-before-fed-moves-reuters-poll-idUSKCN1UB0A4

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1558 on: July 29, 2019, 03:36:29 PM »
苏小妹:

典型的春夏秋冬图形比喻无论是大方向还是小方向,股票会有四个阶段。当股票已走过三个阶段:春、夏、秋,来到了最后一个阶段「冬」的时候;庄家一旦盘整完毕逃之夭夭,股价就会出现崩盘性的暴跌。


CAB (7174) ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

Cab closed with a white marubozu unchanged @ RM0.505 with 340,000 shares done on 26 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ RM0.49, immediate resistance @ RM0.55.



CAB (weekly) ~ 春夏秋冬图形 (AADD Chart Pattern)


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1559 on: July 29, 2019, 04:02:25 PM »
苏小妹:

一个会创新低的股价还会创新低,直到它不会创新低。(理论上可以用161.8%斐波纳契回撤线作为最坏的預測。)

春夏秋冬图形 (AADD Chart Pattern)
1.  CAB
2.  TalkMed
3.  Global Testing


CAB (weekly) ~ 春夏秋冬图形 (AADD Chart Pattern) ~ 26 Jul 2019



TalkMed (weekly) ~ 春夏秋冬图形 (AADD Chart Pattern) ~ 26 Jul 2019



Global Testing (weekly) ~ 春夏秋冬图形 (AADD Chart Pattern) ~ 19 Jul 2019


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1560 on: July 30, 2019, 11:31:22 AM »
苏小妹:

大马银行股东大会(AGM)在2019年7月31日上午10时,在森那美会议中心举行。离会议还有两天,却看见一只死蝴蝶掉在地下。


4大转型策略‧大马银行走在前端 ~ 29 Jul 2019
https://www.sinchew.com.my/content/content_2091602.html

AMBank (1015) ~ Bearish AB = CD Pattern

AMBank closed with a hammer @ RM4.21 (-0.03, -0.7%) with 1.54m shares done on 29 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ RM4.17, immediate resistance @ RM4.29.



熊态蝴蝶形态(Bearish AB=CD Pattern)的 point D, 在股票市场可以用161.8%斐波纳契扩展线作为目标价格的預測。
(在外汇交易和原油市场可用到261.8%斐波纳契扩展线;因为它们的波动率很大。)


Bearish AB = CD Pattern



Bearish AB = CD Pattern (FX)


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1561 on: July 31, 2019, 11:00:54 AM »
苏小妹:

有感而发 ~ F&N的妈妈股和姐妹股让我想我的一根烂牙。本来在2013年我只需要付几十块钱就可以拔掉的。可是当年我并没有立刻去做;反而拖到今年(2019年6月11日)才拔掉它。你知道我付了多少倍才能够拔掉那根烂牙吗?答案是:六倍!

烂牙不拔后患无穷

http://health.people.com.cn/n1/2017/1111/c14739-29639947.html

F&N (adjusted for any splits) rose to high of $9.60 per share in 2013. After divesting its stakes in Asia Pacific Brewery, F&N returned capital of $3.70 per share to shareholders. Following which, in the same year, the group spun off its property arm Frasers Centrepoint (FCL) and shareholders got a dividend in specie distribution of two FCL shares for every F&N share they own. Each share of FCL had a book value of $2.04 then. After adjusting the stock for the capital reduction and dividend in specie exercise, the theoretical residual value for the F&N stock should be $1.82.

苏小妹:

一个会创新低的股价还会创新低,直到它不会创新低。(理论上可以用161.8%斐波纳契回撤线作为最悲观的预测。)


Malaysia’s sugar tax starts today ~ 1 Jul 2019
https://themalaysianreserve.com/2019/07/01/sugar-tax-starts-today/
Excise tax of 40 sen per litre is levied on sweetened beverages with more than 5g of sugar per 100ml.

Malaysia has highest diabetes rate in Asia; among highest worldwide ~ 25 Jul 2018
https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2018/07/394129/malaysia-has-highest-diabetes-rate-asia-among-highest-worldwide

FNN ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$1.53

FNN closed with a gravestone doji unchanged @ S$1.69 with thin volume done at 65,700 shares on 30 Jul 2019.

Critical support @ S$1.635, immediate resistance @ S$1.72.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1562 on: July 31, 2019, 11:49:22 AM »
苏小妹:

一个会创新低的股价还会创新低,直到它不会创新低。

1.  QT Vascular IPO @ S$0.28 per share and listed on the SGX on 29 Apr 2014.
2.  The share price hit a high of $0.56 on 18 Jun 2014 and hit a last low of S$0.003 on 1 Apr 2019.


QT Vascular ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

QT Vascular closed with a four-price doji unchanged @ S$0.004 with 7.93m shares done on 30 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.003, immediate resistance @ S$0.006.



QT Vascular ~ Broke the intermediate uptrend line, downside biased

QT Vascular closed with a four-price doji @ S$0.012 (-0.001, -7.7%) with 3.42m shares done on 8 Aug 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.011, immediate resistance @ S$0.014.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1563 on: July 31, 2019, 01:55:55 PM »
苏小妹:

政治与金融市场是息息相关的。由其是政府和上市公司掌舵人的官商关系,一旦有政变,上市公司与新政府肯定会有利益冲突的。(马来西亚的政变就是一个很好的例子。)


印尼邁向新時代!首條捷運開通成打卡熱點 "搭捷運"成全民運動 ~  28 Jul 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZRVr15pOXdg

佐科连任总统,印尼部署数万军警防骚乱 ~  22 May 2019
http://www.xinhuanet.com/world/2019-05/22/c_1210140054.htm

現場直擊 佐科威時代的新印尼 ~ 16 Apr 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b21Pupy9aXg

First Reit ~ Bearish Bat Formation (after dividends adjustment)

First Reit closed with a black marubozu unchanged @ S$1.11 with 660,000 shares done on 30 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.08, immediate resistance @ S$1.13.



First Reit ~ Bearish Bat Formation (before dividends adjustment)

First Reit closed with a spinning top @ S$0.99 (-0.005, -0.5%) with 8.30m shares done on 15 Apr 2019.

Critical support @ S$0.955, immediate resistance @ S$1.02.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1564 on: August 02, 2019, 01:02:21 PM »
苏小妹:

难得一见的图中图:Dayang (5141)

1.  达扬企业的价格处在明显的上升趋势中。(Bullish Linear Regression Channel)

2.  但是达扬企业的图形却隐藏着一个还未完成的熊态蝴蝶形态。(Bearish Butterfly Formation)


Dayang ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

Dayang closed with a white marubozu @ RM1.50 (+0.06, +4.2%) with 6.63m shares done on 1 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ RM1.37, strong resistance @ RM1.52 (Bearish Butterfly point B was created on 31 Jul 2019).



Bearish Butterfly



Dayang ~ Bullish Tower Bottom Reversal, critical support @ RM0.86

Dayang closed with a white marubozu @ RM1.04 (+0.15, +16.9%) with high volume done at 68.3m shares on 30 May 2019.

Immediate support @ RM1.00, immediate resistance @ RM1.12.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1565 on: August 02, 2019, 02:14:03 PM »
Singapore Exchange posts record Q4 revenue as derivatives business booms ~ 31 Jul 2019
https://uk.reuters.com/article/sgx-results/update-1-singapore-exchange-posts-record-q4-revenue-as-derivatives-business-booms-idUKL4N24W34H
SGX reported record revenue for the quarter ending June and its net profit rose 24%, boosted by strong performance at its derivatives business, while its securities business also improved.

SGX ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

SGX gapped down and closed with a 'hanging man' @ S$7.78 (-0.14, -1.8%) with 4.22m shares done on 1 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$7.56, immediate resistance @ S$7.92.



'Hanging Man' Candlestick Pattern(吊死鬼K线形态)
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/040914/understanding-hanging-man-optimistic-candlestick-pattern.asp



SGX share price: what you should know ahead of its Q4, FY2019 results ~ 25 Jul 2019
https://www.ig.com/sg/news-and-trade-ideas/sgx-share-price--what-you-should-know-ahead-of-its-q4--fy2019-re-190725
SGX to report its Q4, FY2019 results after the market closes on Wednesday 31 July 2019. As of Thursday’s (25 July, 2019) price of S$8.05 per share, SGX stocks have risen by 12.3% year-to-date, from S$7.17 on 2 Jan 2019.

SGX ~  Trading in an upward sloping channel

SGX closed with a doji @ S$8.02 (-0.02, -0.2%) with 1.14m shares done on 26 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ S$7.85, immediate resistance @ S$8.05.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1566 on: August 02, 2019, 04:59:55 PM »
苏小妹:

一个会创新低的股价还会创新低,直到它不会创新低。(理论上可以用161.8%斐波纳契回撤线作为最悲观的预测。)


SPH's alternative view ~ Bullish AB = CD Pattern, Measured Target S$2.01

SPH closed with a hammer @ S$2.18 (-0.03, -1.4%) with 5.99m shares done on 1 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.12, immediate resistance @ S$2.25.



Bullish AB = CD Pattern (with classic and extension patterns)



SPH最强的卖出信号(strong sell signal);是向下双顶颈线(double top neckline)在2018年10月11日,被延续的巨量向下突破的。

SPH ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$2.13

SPH closed with a long-legged doji @ S$2.24 (-0.01, -0.4%) with 3.68m shares done on 26 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.20, immediate resistance @ S$2.29.



SPH: Diamond chart pattern repeats on the same chart.
1.  Once you know what to look for, you see the familiar chart pattern appears again. 
2.  You know what that means? That means the same trade set-up in 2017 will be repeated in 2018.


SPH ~ Bearish Diamond Top Breakout, Measured Target S$2.34

SPH closed with a spinning top @ S$2.63 (+0.02, +0.8%) with 5.04m shares done on 6 Apr 2018.

Immediate support @ S$2.46, immediate resistance @ S$2.66.



SPH (weekly) ~ Bearish Diamond Top Breakout, Measured Target S$2.34 ~ 6 Apr 2018



SPH (weekly) ~ Bearish Diamond Top Breakout, Measured Target S$2.96 ~ 16 Jul 2017


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1567 on: August 03, 2019, 03:06:21 PM »
Vivocom (formerly Instacom) :一个会创新低的股价还会创新低,直到它不会创新低。

Vivocom (weekly) ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

Vivocom closed @ RM0.015 on 2 Aug 2019.



When a stock is in a bear-market territory, the last low will be retested and the share price will move much further down, forming a new record low.

Vivocom (formerly Instacom) ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

Vivocom closed with a dragonfly doji unchanged @ RM0.13 with 33.3m shares done on 2 Jun 2017.

Immediate support @ RM0.12, immediate resistance @ RN0.14.



VIVOCOM (0069) 怡丰国际: 怡丰国际“跌跌”不休 建筑合约碰钉子 ~ 5 Jun 2017
http://www.sharetisfy.com/2017/06/vivocom-0069.html

INSTACO (0069) - My views on instacom - Salvador Dali ~ 15 Jan 2016
http://www.sharetisfy.com/2016/01/instaco-0069-my-views-on-instacom.html
Either the entire thing is a scam, or its true... how to scam with CRCC(中国铁建)?


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1568 on: August 04, 2019, 08:06:26 AM »
JPMorgan upgraded Maybank to neutral, TP RM8.70 ~ 2 Aug 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/jpmorgan-upgrades-maybank-neutral

Hyflux gets $17m MHIL funding for TuasOne, MayBank ends pact with Tuaspring ~ 16 Jul 2019
https://www.dealstreetasia.com/stories/hyflux-mhil-maybank-145096/
Maybank has also demanded a sum of S$33.60 million as the amount payable on account of early termination of the hedging pact.

Maybank's Q1 net profit eased to RM1.8 billion ~ 30 May 2019
http://www.bernama.com/en/news.php?id=1731346
Maybank recorded a lower net profit of RM1.8 billion in the first quarter ended March 31, 2019 (Q1 2019) from RM1.87 billion in the same period last year. Revenue, however, rose to RM12.97 billion from RM11.51 billion previously.

MAYBANK ~ Bearish Diamond Top Breakout, Measured Target RM7.40

MAYBANK closed with a black marubozu @ RM8.65 (-0.04, -0.5%) with 6.82m shares done on 2 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ RM8.45, immediate resistance @ RM8.75.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1569 on: August 04, 2019, 08:26:50 AM »
HPH Trust ~ Trading in a rectangle, TP S$0.13

HPH Trust closed with a black marubozu @ US$0.20 (-0.015, -7%) with 22.3m shares done on 2 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ US$0.192, immediate resistance @ US$0.205.



HPH Trust ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$0.205, next TP S$0.13

HPH Trust closed with a black marubozu @ US$0.235 (-0.005, -2.1%) with 3.71m shares done on 19 Sep 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.22, immediate resistance @ S$0.255.



Story of HPH Trust’s 9% dividend yield ~ 3 Aug 2019
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/chart-week-story-hutchison-port-013901017.html
HPH Trust’s 2019 second quarter DPU continued falling, declining by around 30% from 8.52 HK cents to 6.00 HK cents. This came on the back of quarterly revenue decreasing by 1.4% to HK$2.75 billion and net profit tumbling 19.7% to HK$136.5 million. At Hutchison Port Holdings Trust’s closing unit price of US$0.20 on Friday 2 Aug 2019, it had a trailing distribution yield of around 9%.

Hong Kong’s declining container port traffic shows why it should be run more ‘like the subway’, analysts say ~ 30 Jul 2019
https://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/3020692/hong-kongs-ageing-kwai-tsing-container-terminal-needs-london
  • Declining throughput at Kwai Tsing Container Terminal throws a spotlight on the need for a new private-public partnership to oversee management at the 50-year-old port facility.
  • Transshipment business is important to Hong Kong’s future role in maritime professional services such as arbitration, financing and maintenance.
Arrival of OOCL’s massive cargo container vessel in Hong Kong heralds China’s growing power in shipping ~ 25 Jul 2019
https://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/3020064/arrival-oocls-massive-cargo-container-vessel-hong-kong-heralds
  • OOCL Hong Kong, whose ultimate owner is Cosco, docks at the container port after China recently became world’s second biggest shipping nation, overtaking Japan.
  • Mega ships like OOCL Hong Kong are increasingly plying the trade routes between Asia and Europe.
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust unit price: US-China trade war to put a drag to its Q2 earnings ~ 16 Jul 2019
https://www.ig.com/en/news-and-trade-ideas/hutchison-port-holdings-share-price--us-china-trade-war-to-drag--190716
The volume of outbound cargoes to the US is expected to be volatile for this year as the US-China trade dispute continue.

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1570 on: August 05, 2019, 09:37:15 AM »
苏小妹:

一个会创新低的股价还会创新低,直到它不会创新低。

1.  SingPost was listed on the mainboard of the SGX in 2003 at an IPO price of S$0.60 per share.
2.  The share price hit a high of $2.08 on 28 Jan 2015 and hit a last low of S$0.865 on 18 Dec 2018.


SingPost ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$0.80, next TP S$0.74

SingPost closed with a spinning top @ S$0.965 (+0.005, +0.5%) with 3.21m shares done on 2 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.935, immediate resistance @ S$1.00.



SingPost ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$0.80

SingPost closed with a hammer @ S$0.995 (-0.005, -0.5%) with 6.13m shares done on 9 Nov 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.965, immediate resistance @ S$1.02.



SingPost ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$1.03

SingPost closed with a black marubozu @ S$1.25 (-0.13, -9.4%) with 22.7m shares done on 3 Aug 2018.

Immediate support @ S$1.23, immediate resistance @ S$1.28.



SingPost ~ Bearish Rounding Top Formation, downside biased

SingPost gapped down and closed with a black marubozu @ S$1.515 (-0.095, -5.9%) with 22.8m shares done on 6 Jan 2016.

Immediate support @ S$1.48, immediate resistance @ S$1.54.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1571 on: August 05, 2019, 12:11:43 PM »
AEM ~ Symmetrical Triangle Formation, strong resistance @ S$1.35

AEM closed with an inverted hammer @ S$1.14 (-0.05, -4.2%) with 10.5m shares done on 2 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.12, immediate resistance @ S$1.21.



苏小妹:

CIMB 在2019年7月17日的「技术分析」对 AEM 起了正面的反应。因为隔天(2019年7月18日)的一根阳K线向上突破了对称三角形的形态。


CGS-CIMB upgraded AEM from Hold to Add with a TP of S$1.23 ~ 17 Jul 2019
https://brokingrfs.cimb.com/c9TPROcMVuDlm5c5z04FTjwCvnXZg7d5niJCq05WhHwaifdSn26cZyo22_nEq2XhzjKHqymetQe69A2.pdf
On the charts, immediate support at S$0.995–1.00 should hold in the near-term. If resistance is broken at S$1.08, the share price could move higher to the S$1.15-1.17 resistance area.

AEM ~ Bullish Symmetrical Triangle Breakout, strong resistance @ S$1.35

AEM closed with a white marubozu @ S$1.22 (+0.08, +07%) with 27.2m shares done on 26 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.12, immediate resistance @ S$1.265.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1572 on: August 05, 2019, 02:41:36 PM »
苏小妹:

四个题目,就能轻松測出你的专心程度。:) 这次的测试足以证明你已经掌握了技术分析的基本概念。 :thumbsup:

苏小妹:

四个题目,你只答错了第三题 MYEG 的 「d」;要不然你是可以获得满分的。


3.  My E.G. Services Bhd (MyEG) :

a). MYEG在2018年5月17日,突然间出现了一个特大的向下“跳空缺口”。你认为这个缺口会成为股票延续上升趋势的巨大压力吗?
ai). 「会」。理论上一个向下“跳空缺口”(breakaway gap),是会成为股票延续上升趋势的巨大压力的。

b). MYEG隐藏着三个有趣的形态,请列出这三个形态的名称。股票价格通常依据形态来走 (往上涨、向下回调、牛皮盘整)。你同意吗?
bi). 熊旗(Bear Flag)
bii). 熊态蝴蝶形态。(Bearish AB = CD Pattern)
biii). 熊形对称三角形形态(Bearish Symmetrical Triangle)
biv).「同意」。股票价格通常依据形态来走 (往上涨、向下回调、牛皮盘整)。

c). 用斐波纳契回撤线加上云图(ichimoku cloud)来分析MYEG,会比较快而且又容易看得出最佳买卖时机和价格。你同意吗?
ci). 「同意」。用斐波纳契回撤线,云图(ichimoku cloud)以及60日均线,都会比较快又容易分析任何一只股票的最佳买卖时机和价格。

d). MYEG在2019年7月12日的收市价是RM1.53。最强的阻力点在RM1.80。你认为成功突破(last high)的机率有多高?
di). MYEG不可能突破最强的阻力点 RM1.80(last high)。
dii). 根据艾略特波浪理论;一旦对称三角形形态向上突破超越了 RM1.80(last high),这意味着反转成功。MYEG的股价便会继续往上涨(Major Bullish Trend Reversal)。
diii). 那MYEG 还未完成的熊形对称三角形形态就变成无效了(Bearish Symmetrical Triangle would be invalid)。

MYEG ~ Symmetrical Triangle Formation, strong resistance @ RM1.80

MYEG closed with a spinning top @ RM1.59 (-0.01, -0.6%) with 11.8m shares done on 2 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ RM1.54, immediate resistance @ RM1.695.



3.  My E.G. Services Bhd (MyEG) :
a). MYEG在2018年5月17日,突然间出现了一个特大的向下“跳空缺口”。你认为这个缺口会成为股票延续上升趋势的巨大压力吗?
b). MYEG隐藏着三个有趣的形态,请列出这三个形态的名称。股票价格通常依据形态来走 (往上涨、向下回调、牛皮盘整)。你同意吗?
c). 用斐波纳契回撤线加上云图(ichimoku cloud)来分析MYEG,会比较快而且又容易看得出最佳买卖时机和价格。你同意吗?
d). MYEG在2019年7月12日的收市价是RM1.53。最强的阻力点在RM1.80。你认为成功突破(last high)的机率有多高?

MYEG closed @ RM1.53 (+0.04, +2.7%) with 58.6m shares done on 12 Jul 2019.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1573 on: August 05, 2019, 02:53:35 PM »
苏小妹:

中国航油的图中图都意味着它的股价还会继续跌。

1. 中国航油的价格处在明显的下跌趋势中。(Bearish Linear Regression Channel)
2. 另外中国航油还隐藏着一个向下突破的对称三角形形态。(Symmetrical Triangle Breakout)


CAO ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

CAO closed with a doji @ S$1.25 (-0.01, -0.8%) with 310,000 shares done on 2 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.21, immediate resistance @ S$1.28.



CAO ~ Symmetrical Triangle Formation

CAO closed with a doji unchanged @ S$1.31 with 740,000 shares done on 11 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.275, immediate resistance @ S$1.34.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1574 on: August 05, 2019, 03:14:32 PM »
PBBank (1295) ~ Bearish Head-and-Shoulders, interim TP RM20.62

PBBank closed with a spinning top @ RM21.78 (-0.04, -0.2%) with 3.46m shares done on 2 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ RM21.50, immediate resistance @ S$22.06.



Only in Malaysia ~  18 Aug 2011
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z8pdp2D_3gA


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1575 on: August 06, 2019, 07:14:35 AM »
ComfortDelGro enters truck leasing business ~ 5 Aug 2019
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/transport/comfortdelgro-enters-truck-leasing-business

ComfortDelgro ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

ComfortDelgro closed with a spinning top @ S$2.64 (-0.06, -2.2%) with 4.81m shares done on 5 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.60, immediate resistance @ S$2.75.



ComfortDelgro ~ Ascending Broadening Wedge/Bullish Inverted Head-and-Shoulders chart pattern

ComfortDelgro closed with a bullish harami @ S$2.57 (+0.03, +1.2%) with 5.05m shares done on 8 Apr 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.49, immediate resistance @ S$2.58.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1576 on: August 06, 2019, 07:40:11 AM »
苏小妹:

ComfortDelgro(头肩底)Vs PBBank(头肩顶) :正反对照


ComfortDelgro ~ Bullish Inverted Head-and-Shoulders chart pattern

ComfortDelgro closed with a bullish harami @ S$2.57 (+0.03, +1.2%) with 5.05m shares done on 8 Apr 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.49, immediate resistance @ S$2.58.



PBBank (1295) ~ Bearish Head-and-Shoulders, interim TP RM20.62

PBBank closed with a spinning top @ RM21.78 (-0.04, -0.2%) with 3.46m shares done on 2 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ RM21.50, immediate resistance @ S$22.06.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1577 on: August 06, 2019, 11:17:39 AM »
苏小妹:

四个题目,你只答错了第三题 MYEG 的 「d」;要不然你是可以获得满分的。

苏小妹:

差之毫厘,谬以千里。

ComfortDelgro 与 MYEG 的不同之处在于:

  • ComfortDelgro 在 2019年3月19日的股价,超越了 2018年6月5日的股价 = Bullish Symmetrical + Ascending Triangle Breakout(Major Bullish Trend Reversal)。
  • 而 MYEG 在 2019年7月23日的股价,并没有超越 2018年9月21日的股价 = Bearish Symmetrical Triangle is still valid。
ComfortDelgro ~ Trading in an upward sloping channel

ComfortDelgro closed with a spinning top @ S$2.64 (-0.06, -2.2%) with 4.81m shares done on 5 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.60, immediate resistance @ S$2.75.



d). MYEG在2019年7月12日的收市价是RM1.53。最强的阻力点在RM1.80。你认为成功突破(last high)的机率有多高?
di). MYEG不可能突破最强的阻力点 RM1.80(last high)。
dii). 根据艾略特波浪理论;一旦对称三角形形态向上突破超越了 RM1.80(last high),这意味着反转成功。MYEG的股价便会继续往上涨(Major Bullish Trend Reversal)。
diii). 那MYEG 还未完成的熊形对称三角形形态就变成无效了(Bearish Symmetrical Triangle would be invalid)。

MYEG ~ Symmetrical Triangle Formation, strong resistance @ RM1.80

MYEG closed with a spinning top @ RM1.59 (-0.01, -0.6%) with 11.8m shares done on 2 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ RM1.54, immediate resistance @ RM1.695.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1578 on: August 07, 2019, 04:10:19 PM »
苏小妹:

香港置地:理论上可以用161.8%斐波纳契回撤线作为最悲观的預測。


Hongkong Land profit plunged 63% to US$411m from US$1.12b in H1 ~ Aug 2019
https://www.msn.com/en-sg/money/topstories/hongkong-land-profit-plunged-63-to-5655m-in-h1/ar-AAFdvij

HK Land ~ Bearish Rounding Top Breakout, interim TP @ US$5.30

HK Land closed with a black marubozu @ US$5.57 (-0.17, -3.0%) with 6.41m shares done on 6 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ US$5.45, immediate resistance @ US$5.71.



蝴蝶形态的威力巨大:香港置地的蝴蝶形态早于去年2017年4月中旬,就已经预示了“卖出信号”。
(The Power of Gartley Pattern: HongKong Land's chart flashed a SELL signal in mid-April 2017)


HongKong Land ~ Bearish Rounding Top Breakout, interim TP US$5.59

HongKong Land closed with a spinning top @ US$6.09 (-0.01, -0.2%) with 1.76m shares done on 19 Oct 2018.

Immediate support @ US$6.04, immediate resistance @ US$6.15.



HongKong Land (weekly) ~ Bearish Bat Pattern



Bearish Bat Pattern


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1579 on: August 08, 2019, 12:06:24 PM »
The Basics Of Game Theory
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-theory/08/game-theory-basics.asp

所有上市公司掌舵人在股票市场玩数字游戏最先考虑的重点是,他們自己本身的利益:
1.  Malaysia's Genting Malaysia ~ 6 Aug 2019
2.  Malaysia's OSK Holdings ~ 14 Jun 2017
3.  Indonesia's Indofood  ~ 3 Mar 2016

Kok Thay sells loss-making Empire Resorts stake to Genting Msia ~ 6 Aug 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/kok-thay-sells-lossmaking-empire-resorts-stake-genting-msia
Tan Sri Lim Kok Thay, via Kien Huat Realty III Ltd, is selling 46% of the common stock in Nasdaq-listed gaming and entertainment company, Empire Resorts Inc, to Genting Malaysia Bhd (GenM) for US$128.6 million cash or RM538.8 million.

Indonesia's Indofood rattles investors by buying land from CEO ~ 14 Jun 2017
https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Indofood-*-from-CEO-causes-market-jitters
Food giant's $164 million payout is equal to 16.5% of its cash holdings

OSK Holdings: Merger of OSK Property and PJ Development ~ 3 Mar 2016
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eh-gVklmCVI
In 2015, OSK Holdings Berhad completed its corporate exercise to merge the businesses and operations of PJ Development Holdings Berhad and OSK Property Holdings Berhad into the OSK Group.

GENM (4715)

GENM closed @ RM3.18 (-0.43, -11.9%) with high volume done at 260m shares on 7 Aug 2019.



GENM closed @ RM3.70 (+0.25, +7.2%) with high volume done at 57.7m shares on 24 Jul 2019.



GENTING (3182)

GENTING closed  @ RM6.18 (-0.47, -7.1%) with 23.6m shares done on 7 Aug 2019.



GENTING closed @ RM6.87 (+0.22, +3.3%) with high volume done at 12.0m shares on 24 Jul 2019.



Genting Sp (G13)

Genting SP @ S$0.88 (+0.01, +1.1%) with 25.3m shares done on 7 Aug 2019.



Genting SP closed @ S$0.935 with 29.5m shares done on 24 Jul 2019.



Performance Chart ~ GENM (4715), GENTING (3182) and Genting Sp (G13) from 15 May 2018 to 7 Aug 2019



Performance Chart ~ GENM (4715), GENTING (3182) and Genting Sp (G13) from 15 May 2018 to 24 Jul 2019


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1580 on: August 08, 2019, 01:17:34 PM »
苏小妹:

Sembcorp:理论上可以用161.8%斐波纳契回撤线作为最悲观的預測。


Sembcorp ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, TP S$2.14

Sembcorp closed with a hammer unchanged @ S$2.27 with 1.55m shares done on 7 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.21, immediate resistance @ S$2.28.



When a stock is in a bear-market territory, the last low will be retested and the share price will move much further down, forming a new record low.

OCBC Investment Research maintained “buy” on Sembcorp, TP $3.03 ~ 4 Jun 2019
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/sembcorp-industries-could-benefit-us-china-trade-war-says-ocbc

Sembcorp ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, downside biased

Sembcorp closed with a spinning top @ S$2.39 (+0.01, +0.4%) with 3.39m shares done on 4 Jun 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.31, immediate resistance @ S$2.41.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1581 on: August 08, 2019, 03:45:24 PM »
苏小妹:

SembCorp Marine:理论上可以用161.8%斐波纳契回撤线作为最悲观的預測。

屋漏偏逢连夜雨,船迟又遇打头风。


Sembcorp Marine posts Q2 loss, sees H2 worsen ~ 29 Jul 2019
https://lta.reuters.com/articulo/sembcorp-marine-results-idLTAL4N24U0UB
Sembcorp Marine reported a net loss of S$8.5m for Q2, compared with a loss of S$55.6m a year ago.

Brazil searches Sembcorp Marine shipyard in graft probe; shares tumble ~ 3 Jul 2019
https://www.reuters.com/article/sembcorp-marine-brazil-corruption/update-3-brazil-searches-sembcorp-marine-shipyard-in-graft-probe-shares-tumble-idUSL4N2440AJ
  • Former president of Brazil shipyard under investigation
  • Sembcorp Marine shares fall 8.4%
  • Probe part of Brazil’s ‘Operation Car Wash’
  • Comes as firm struggling with falling profits
SembCorp Marine ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$1.18

SembCorp Marine closed with a hammer @ S$1.27 (-0.01, -0.8%) with 2.73m shares done on 7 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.24, immediate, resistance @ S$1.35.



SembCorp Marine ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$1.18

SembCorp Marine closed with a spinning top @ S$1.62 (+0.04, +2.5%) with 10.6m shares done on 28 Nov 2018.

Immediate support @ S$1.56, strong resistance @ S$1.63.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1582 on: August 10, 2019, 12:20:24 PM »
苏小妹:

SP Setia 在2019年8月9日的收市价RM1.84;已经回答了在2019年7月20日的3个问题。


1. SP Setia 的股价从最高RM3.39(on 20 Apr 2016),掉到最低RM1.87(on 14 May 2019)。
没有最低,只有更低。

2.  从技术分析的角度来看 SP Setia,你认为这只股票是否适合以RM2.08左右买来作为中长期投资(1½ - 2年的时间)?
不适合。根据(下降)趋势理论来看 SP Setia;一个会创新低的股价还会创新低,直到它不会创新低。

3.  而那些被 SP Setia「套牢」3年多的长期投资者(20 Apr 2016 to 19 Jul 2019);可以在RM2.08左右加码再买入吗?
不可以。“Never average losses by, for example, buying more of a stock that has fallen” ~ Jesse Livermore

SP Setia downgraded to Hold, TP lowered to RM2.10 ~ 8 Aug 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UbMXl6CiOLE

SP Setia ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP RM1.55

SP Setia closed with an inverted hammer unchanged @ RM1.84 with 1.17m shares done on 9 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ RM1.75, immediate resistance @ RM1.87.



SP Setia ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, critical support @ RM1.87

SP Setia closed with a spinning top @ RM2.08 (+0.03, +1.5%) with 1.18m shares done on 19 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ RM2.00, critical support @ RM1.87; immediate resistance @ RM2.15, strong resistance @ RM2.25.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1583 on: August 10, 2019, 04:15:53 PM »
苏小妹:

A test to assess your understanding of technical analysis. (你可以用英文或中文解答。)

苏小妹:

Yanlord (8 Aug 2019)Vs Yanlord (12 Jul 2019):S$1.18 Vs S$1.32 = -S$0.14


Yanlord ~ Bearish Round Top Formation, critical support @ S$1.105

Yanlord closed with a doji unchanged @ S$1.18 with 1.25m shares done on 8 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.15, strong resistance @ S$1.22.



1. 仁恒置地(Yanlord Land):

a).  60日均线是一条非常重要的支撑与阻力均线。请指出投资者本来是应该在什么时候和什么价格;果断的卖出Yanlord,清仓离场?
  • ai).  根据艾略特波浪理论;在2017年4月13日,当卖出信号「射击之星」出现之后;长期投资者应该趁高价逐步减持Yanlord股票。(重点是:第3浪是以60°斜度爆涨的)
  • aii). 到了2017年6月15日,当价格刺破了60日均线往下跌,长期投资者应该果断卖出剩余的Yanlord股票,清仓离场。
b).  Yanlord 除了有一个向下对称三角形突破形态,另外还隐藏着两个负面的形态(正在盘整阶段,还未完成)。你知道它们的名称吗?
bi).  另外两个负面的形态是 (i).  Bearish Rounding Top (ii).  Bearish Inverse Cup and Handle

c).  Yanlord 的图形是用典型的支撑与阻力线画的(classic S/R),非常耗时间。请列出两个比较快而且又容易画的方法。
ci).  两个比较快而且又容易画的方法是 (i). 用斐波纳契回撤线与扩展线(Fibonacci retracement and extension lines)(ii). 云图(ichimoku cloud)。

d).  在2019年7月12日,Yanlord 的收市价是S$1.32。请问这只股票在S$1.32左右,是否适合买来作为中长期投资?
di).  不适合。Yanlord 在2019年8月8日的收市价是S$1.18。它的价位已经是S$0.14低于2019年7月12日的收市价S$1.32。

Yanlord closed @ S$1.32 (+0.03, +2.3%) with 1.50m shares done on 12 Jul 2019.




Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1584 on: August 10, 2019, 05:12:34 PM »
“The trend is your friend, until the end when it bends.”

YZJ ~ Bearish Head-and-Shoulders Breakout

YZJ closed with a 'hanging man' @ S$1.04 (-0.26, -20%) with high volume done at 83.7m shares; prior to trading halt on 8 Aug 2019 at 1126 hrs.



'Hanging Man' Candlestick Pattern(吊死鬼K线形态)
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/040914/understanding-hanging-man-optimistic-candlestick-pattern.asp


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1585 on: August 11, 2019, 11:38:27 AM »
苏小妹:

Bearish Head-and-Shoulders Chart Pattern: Spot the difference between YZJ and PBBank


YZJ ~ Bearish Head-and-Shoulders Breakout

YZJ closed with a 'hanging man' @ S$1.04 (-0.26, -20%) with high volume done at 83.7m shares; prior to trading halt on 8 Aug 2019 at 1126 hrs.



PBBank (1295) ~ Bearish Head-and-Shoulders, interim TP RM20.62

PBBank closed with a spinning top @ RM21.78 (-0.04, -0.2%) with 3.46m shares done on 2 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ RM21.50, immediate resistance @ S$22.06.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1586 on: August 12, 2019, 09:12:18 AM »
苏小妹:

Eco World: 理论上可以用161.8%斐波纳契回撤线作为最悲观的預測。
(Eco World's TP @ RM0.68 or 161.8% FIBO, based on 17 Apr 2019's chart.)


Eco World ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP RM0.68

Eco World closed with a hammer @ RM0.78 (+0.025, +3.3%) with 2.36m shares done on 9 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ RM0.72, immediate resistance @ RM0.79.



Eco World ~ Bearish Descending Triangle Breakout, interim TP RM0.81

Eco World closed with a hammer @ RM0.92 (-0.005, -0.5%) with 620,000 shares done on 17 Apr 2019.

Immediate support @ RM0.89, immediate resistance @ RM0.97.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1587 on: August 12, 2019, 11:36:06 AM »
Why the 200d SMA is important:
The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is the average price of an asset over a certain period of time. It is calculated by adding up the closing prices over a certain number of time periods, and then dividing by that number of time periods. SMA’s are used to measure momentum. The most watched SMA is the 200 day, it is widely recognized as the dividing line between bull and bear territory. The primary trend is considered to be up as long as the market is trading above its 200-day moving average but this trend turns bearish whenever the market closes below this average.

FBMKLCI ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, critical support @ 1,572

FBMKLCI closed with an inverted hammer @ 1,615.05 (-0.97, -0.1%) on 9 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ 1,600, immediate resistance @ 1,621.



FBMKLCI ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

FBMKLCI closed with a white marubozu @ 1,658.19 (+9.26, +0.6%) on 19 Jul 2019.

Immediate support @ 1,641, strong resistance @ 1,675.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1588 on: August 13, 2019, 04:09:21 PM »
STI ~ Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Formation

STI closed with a spinning top @ 3,168.94 (-15.75, -0.5%) on 8 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ 3,144, immediate resistance @ 3,217.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1589 on: August 20, 2019, 10:46:02 AM »
苏小妹:

SPH:一个会创新低的股价还会创新低,直到它不会创新低。


Bad news: Investors should avoid SPH shares ~ 19 Jul 2019
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/bad-news-investors-avoid-sph-023206919.html
SPH shares have delivered a loss of 35% to investors over the three years ended 17 July 2019, after adjusting for dividends.



SPH ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

SPH closed with a spinning top @ S$2.08 (+0.02, +1%) with 8.28m shares done on 19 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.02, immediate resistance @ S$2.12.



SPH's alternative view ~ Bullish AB = CD Pattern

SPH closed with a spinning top @ S$2.08 (+0.02, +1%) with 8.28m shares done on 19 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.02, immediate resistance @ S$2.12.



SPH's alternative view ~ Bullish AB = CD Pattern, Measured Target S$2.01

SPH closed with a hammer @ S$2.18 (-0.03, -1.4%) with 5.99m shares done on 1 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.12, immediate resistance @ S$2.25.



Bullish AB = CD Pattern (with classic and extension patterns)


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1590 on: August 21, 2019, 05:51:03 PM »
The CEO of a listed-company, ABC invested company's fund, $1 billion in a company called XYZ with full knowledge that it would go bankrupt soon. Prior to the investment decision, he had liaised a 50/50 split with the owner of company XYZ that each would get $500 million once he got the money. After a while, company XYZ really went bankrupt. It didn't affect the CEO personally as the $1 billion in losses were attributable to the listed-company ABC. So what's rightfully company ABC’s money has now become the CEO's personal money, and it’s all legal and above board.

苏小妹:

有感而发 :

突然想起一篇文章。那间ABC上市公司的例子其实是一个真实个案(see above summary)。

没想到,如今在马来西亚;真的有人肯花大钱去买一间“面临破产”的美国上市公司。


Empire Resorts to be acquired by controlling holder Lim ~ 20 Aug 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/empire-resorts-be-acquired-controlling-holder-lim

Empire Resorts on the brink of filing for bankruptcy ~ 13 Aug 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/empire-resorts-brink-filing-bankruptcy

Genting, conquering a losing Empire? ~ 9 Aug 2019
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j4GMBxyO6-A

Empire Resorts announces Receipt of Letter from controlling stockholder ~ 26 Jul 2019
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190725005625/en/

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1591 on: August 24, 2019, 09:24:16 AM »
苏小妹:

SPH:一个会创新低的股价还会创新低,直到它不会创新低。

On 23 Aug 2019, the 'dead-cat bounce' (point D) could not surpass the strong resistance at the 20d SMA; it means SPH's alternative view, the Bullish AB = CD Pattern is invalid.


SPH ~ Bearish Complex Head-and-Shoulders Breakout, TP S$1.71

SPH closed with a black marubozu @ S$2.04 (-0.09, -4.2%) with high volume done at 12.7m shares on 23 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.98, immediate resistance @ S$2.18.



SPH's alternative view ~ Bullish AB = CD Pattern

SPH closed with a spinning top @ S$2.08 (+0.02, +1%) with 8.28m shares done on 19 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.02, immediate resistance @ S$2.12.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1592 on: August 25, 2019, 10:02:13 AM »
苏小妹:

屋漏偏逢连夜雨,船迟又遇打头风。


KepCorp ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$4.31

KepCorp closed with a black marubozu @ S$5.88 (-0.06, -1%) with 3.95m shares done on 23 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$5.64, immediate resistance @ S$6.08.



KrisEnergy applies for debt moratorium, Keppel expresses support as creditor ~ 15 Aug 2019
https://www.phnompenhpost.com/business/krisenergy-applies-debt-moratorium-keppel-expresses-support-creditor
Upstream Singaporean oil and gas firm KrisEnergy has filed for a six-month debt moratorium to seek court protection from creditors’ legal action while it restructures its debt totalling some US$476.8 million. KrisEnergy requested an immediate suspension in the trading of its shares which last traded at 3 cents.

Sembcorp keeps faith with marine arm despite turbulence ~ 15 Aug 2019
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Machinery-Industrial-Equipment/Sembcorp-keeps-faith-with-marine-arm-despite-turbulence2
Just hours after Sembcorp announced its earnings, oil-and-gas production and development company KrisEnergy sought court protection from its creditors to whom it owed some US$477 million. Keppel Corp, whose offshore and marine unit is the largest in Singapore and which has an indirect interest in KrisEnergy, could be liable for up to US$179 million of the debt due to a separate agreement with a unit of DBS Group Holdings.

Keppel posts 39% fall in 2Q earnings to $153 mil on absence of en bloc property sales ~ 18 Jul 2019
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/results/keppel-posts-39-fall-2q-earnings-153-mil-absence-en-bloc-property-sales

Keppel to raise stake in KrisEnergy to 67.33% ~ 3 Nov 2016
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/keppel-raise-stake-krisenergy-67-051400724.html
  • Keppel Corp is raising its stake in KrisEnergy to up to 67.33% through a preferential share offering as it transfers its shares from a wholly owned indirect subsidiary Devan International to Keppel Oil and Gas (KOG).
  • KrisEnergy has proposed non-renounceable and non-underwritten preferential offering of up to S$140m in principal amount of senior secured zero coupon notes due 2024, in the denomination of S$1.00 for each Note, with up to 1,252,128,996 free detachable warrant. Each Warrant carrying the right to subscribe for one new share in the capital of KrisEnergy of par value US$0.00125 (collectively, the 'New KE Shares') at an exercise price of S$0.110.
  • Keppel, through its wholly-owned indirect subsidiary, Devan International Limited, currently has an interest in 598,263,893 KE Shares, representing approximately 39.99%. KOG or Devan (as the case may be) will have a direct interest in approximately 67.33 % of the enlarged issued share capital of Keppel Corp of 2,748,101,519 Shares immediately following the allotment and issue of 1,252,128,996 New Shares pursuant to the Preferential Offering and assuming all 1,252,128,996 Warrants are exercised.
• A fall in oil price is negative for rigbuilders Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine and Sembcorp Industries.

KepCorp @ S$5.88 on 23 Aug 2019



US Brent crude futures @ US$59.14 per barrel on 23 Aug 2019



US WTI futures @ US$53.85 per barrel on 23 Aug 2019


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1593 on: August 27, 2019, 10:01:58 AM »
Shenzhen to upgrade port linking Hong Kong ~ 19 Aug 2019
http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1161871.shtml

Maersk warns trade war could hurt container business ~ 15 Aug 2019
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-maersk-results/maersk-warns-trade-war-could-hurt-container-business-idUSKCN1V50JG

HPH Trust ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, TP S$0.13

HPH Trust gapped down and closed with a black marubozu @ US$0.157 (-0.01, -6%) with 11.2m shares done on 26 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ US$0.147, immediate resistance @ US$0.166.



HPH Trust ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$0.205, next TP S$0.13

HPH Trust closed with a black marubozu @ US$0.235 (-0.005, -2.1%) with 3.71m shares done on 19 Sep 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.22, immediate resistance @ S$0.255.



Hutchison Port opens at US$0.975 in Singapore IPO, below offer price at US$1.01 a unit ~ 18 Mar 2011
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/hutchison-port-opens-us0975-singapore-ipo-below-offer-price
Hong Kong billionaire Li Ka-shing’s Hutchison Port Holdings Trust sold each unit at US$1.01, raising US$5.5 billion and making it the largest-ever initial public offering in Southeast Asia.



一将功成万骨枯 ~ 意思是说一代名将是踩着无数人的尸体而成名的。


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1594 on: August 27, 2019, 12:01:11 PM »
李嘉诚撤离砸4000亿给英国,这个香港富豪却携138亿“进军”内地 ~ 24 Aug 2019
http://www.sohu.com/a/336171862_100120495
香港经过几十年的发展,四大家族依旧屹立不倒。根据胡润研究院发布的《2019胡润全球富豪榜》显示,李嘉诚家族身价2057亿元,李兆基家族身价1915亿元,郑裕彤家族身价1205亿,郭炳联家族身价574亿,都处于顶级富豪行列。

China is looking for a quick economic fix in Hong Kong. It’s missing the point ~ 30 Jul 2019
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jul/30/china-economic-hong-kong-carrie-lam
  • There are signs Beijing intends to work with Hong Kong on issues such as housing.
  • But without democratic reform, protests will intensify. Affairs office spokeswoman Xu Luying, speaking of social problems in Hong Kong, focused on economic issues such as youth opportunity, social mobility and housing affordability.
  • This holds out hope that Beijing intends to work with the Hong Kong government and, perhaps more importantly, Hong Kong’s all-powerful tycoons in addressing housing prices and other business and economic issues.
  • The extradition bill that originally motivated the present protest movement and the livelihood issues Beijing is targeting are merely symptomatic of what Hong Kong’s protesters see as the underlying cause: Hong Kong’s undemocratic system, under which the people are governed by a government beholden to Beijing and accountable to Hong Kong’s tycoon class, and not governing in the interests of the people.
Tycoons: The men who rule Hong Kong ~ 4 Oct 2016
https://www.timeout.com/hong-kong/blog/tycoons-the-men-who-rule-hong-kong-100416



李嘉诚旗下码头罢工续:工人十年未涨薪 ~ 1 Apr 2013
http://finance.ifeng.com/business/gs/20130401/7850145.shtml
据了解,位于葵涌的香港国际货柜码头,隶属和记黄埔港口集团,是世界最大的私营货柜码头。拥有四号、六号、七号、九号(北)泊位,同时与中远太平洋合资经营八号两个泊位。公司最终持有人是华人首富李嘉诚。



20万香港底层的真实生存状态:我还没死,就住进了棺材房 ~ 4 Oct 2017
https://www.sohu.com/a/196241273_313480


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1595 on: August 29, 2019, 10:42:32 AM »
苏小妹:

SembCorp Marine:一个会创新低的股价还会创新低,直到它不会创新低。


SembCorp Marine ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$0.86

SembCorp Marine closed with a black marubozu @ S$1.11 (-0.07, -5.9%) with 10.2m shares done on 28 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.05, immediate, resistance @ S$1.20.



SembCorp Marine ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$1.18

SembCorp Marine closed with a hammer @ S$1.27 (-0.01, -0.8%) with 2.73m shares done on 7 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.24, immediate, resistance @ S$1.35.




Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1596 on: August 29, 2019, 11:43:57 AM »
Singapore faces rising tide of bad debt with record bonds maturing ~ 27 Aug 2019
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/singapore-economy/singapore-faces-rising-tide-bad-debt-record-bonds-maturing
KrisEnergy, a Singapore-listed oil and gas explorer that’s partly held by Keppel Corp. and had sought to restructure its debt in 2016, said last week that it will “temporarily cease repayment” on some of its financial obligations. This includes interest payable under its $200 million bond due 2023.

Sembcorp Marine bags S$2 billion (US$1.47 billion) loan from parent ~ 24 Jun 2019
https://worldmaritimenews.com/archives/279092/sembcorp-marine-bags-usd-1-5-bn-loan-from-parent/
Assuming the S$2 billion is fully drawn as at March 31, 2019, Sembcorp Group’s gross debt-to-capitalisation ratio would increase from 56% to 58%.

Sembcorp Ind ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$2.00

Sembcorp Ind closed with a black marubozu @ S$2.03 (-0.04, -1.9%) with 4.96m shares done on 28 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$2.00, immediate resistance @ S$2.16.



Performance chart ~ KepCorp, SembCorp Ind and SembCorp Marine as at 28 Aug 2019



SembCorp Marine ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$0.86

SembCorp Marine closed with a black marubozu @ S$1.11 (-0.07, -5.9%) with 10.2m shares done on 28 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.05, immediate, resistance @ S$1.20.


KepCorp ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$4.31

KepCorp closed with a black marubozu @ S$5.88 (-0.06, -1%) with 3.95m shares done on 23 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$5.64, immediate resistance @ S$6.08.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1597 on: August 30, 2019, 11:46:16 AM »
Although SPH's core business is publishing of newspapers, magazines and books but it is now running its business like a traditional provision shop (can call it a mini-mart, mama shop, or zhap heh diam) = "Jack of all trades, master of none."

SPH ~ Bearish Complex Head-and-Shoulders Breakout, TP S$1.71

SPH closed with a white marubozu @ S$1.99 (+0.06, +3.1%) with high volume done at 11.6m shares on 29 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.87, immediate resistance @ S$2.04.



SPH ~ Bearish Complex Head-and-Shoulders Breakout, TP S$1.71

SPH closed with a black marubozu @ S$2.04 (-0.09, -4.2%) with high volume done at 12.7m shares on 23 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$1.98, immediate resistance @ S$2.18.



Asia media titan sinks to quarter-century low as SPH struggles ~ 26 Jul 2019
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-25/straits-times-owner-becomes-worst-msci-singapore-stock-this-year
  • SPH is now the worst performer on the MSCI Singapore Index, as shares hover at a 25-year low, after a strategy to diversify into real estate has so far failed to offset sagging earnings from its media business.
  • It's share is down 4.7% this year, compared with a 11% gain in the 25-member MSCI Singapore Index. Net income at SPH is set for a seventh annual decline in eight.
  • Sales from media, which includes The Straits Times and The Business Times, for the nine-month period ended May 31 fell 12% to S$439.7m from a year ago, while the division’s profit before tax declined 32% to S$52.1m, according to a company statement on July 12.
  • Revenue from property rose 21% to S$220.7m. SPH has shrunk in value in the past two years. Shares are set for a fifth yearly decline and the firm has lost almost half, or S$3.2b, of its market value since the end of 2014.


SPH spends S$237m on 4th purchase of UK student housing in 8 months ~ 18 Apr 2019
https://www.mingtiandi.com/real-estate/outbound-investment/singapore-press-holdings-buys-uk-student-housing/

SPH buys 14 UK student housing assets for S$321m ~ 12 Sep 2018
https://www.mingtiandi.com/real-estate/outbound-investment/sph-buys-14-uk-student-housing-assets-for-233m/



SPH raises stake in MindChamps Preschool ~ 10 Nov 2017
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/sph-raises-stake-mindchamps-preschool



Singapore Press Holdings buys local health-care firm for S$164 million ~ 25 Apr 2017
https://www.foxbusiness.com/features/singapore-press-holdings-buys-local-health-care-firm-for-s164-million
SPH will buy all the shares and intellectual property of Orange Valley Healthcare Pte. Ltd.



Perennial and SPH sell Singapore mall to Mitsubishi CLSA Fund in S$520m deal ~ ~ 22 Apr 2017
https://www.mingtiandi.com/real-estate/china-retail-real-estate-news/perennial-sph-sell-singapore-mall-to-mitsubishi-clsa-fund/
SPH said its wholly-owned subsidiary, CT Point Investments Pte Ltd, has a direct stake of 30.68% in the holding company that owns the Chinatown Point Mall which it expects to liquidate in its entirety through the sale. The company expects to record its share of gain of approximately S$10m in its books pursuant to the transaction.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1598 on: August 30, 2019, 05:56:55 PM »
没想到,如今在马来西亚;真的有人肯花大钱去买一间“面临破产”的美国上市公司。

Empire Resorts to be acquired by controlling holder Lim ~ 20 Aug 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/empire-resorts-be-acquired-controlling-holder-lim

Britain's biggest tech firm Micro Focus sees £1bn wiped off value as shares slump 30% after it slashes sales forecast ~ 29 Aug 2019
https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-7406299/Britains-biggest-tech-group-Micro-Focus-sees-1bn-wiped-value.html
Micro Focus, which is based in Newbury, has struggled to integrate the much larger US-based Hewlett Packard Enterprise, which it snapped up for £6.8 billion two years ago.

Micro Focus shares drop by a quarter following profits warning ~ 29 Aug 2019
https://www.theinquirer.net/inquirer/news/3080977/micro-focus-profit-warning
  • The main problem is the chronic indigestion the company is suffering as a result of its merger with HPE Software, an operation described by HPE as a ‘spin-merge'.
  • That saw HPE stockholders receiving the wondrous gift of shares in Micro Focus amounting to 50.1% of the company. At the time, HPE described it as "$8.8 billion in value". It's now worth a lot less than that.
  • The deal promoted Micro Focus to the FTSE-100 and bumped up the company's revenues from a mere $1.38bn in 2017, before completion of the deal in September 2017, to $3.2bn in the year to the end of March 2018.


Are mergers and acquisitions always good for investors?

By Royston Yang
31 January 2019

There's nothing which graces the headlines and makes business news more exciting than mergers and acquisition (M&A) announcements.

With the desire to grow larger and get better, more and more companies are on an acquisition spree to turbo-charge their growth and to create more "shareholder value". Investors who are on the receiving end of such announcements from the companies within their portfolio should carefully scrutinise the deals as M&A do not always turn out well. The devil, as they say, is in the details and this article attempts to explain the good and the bad when it comes to M&A.

The Lowdown On M&A
Companies undertake M&A for a variety of reasons, from the need to integrate a new product line or lines (buying instead of building one shortens the process), acquiring a new complementary set of customers, diversifying away from their core business or simply adding on to their existing capabilities. Whatever the reasons, investors should look at several aspects to ascertain if the transactions are good or bad.
  • Price paid and valuation – What was the total amount of money paid for the deal? Did the company over-pay or are they getting a good deal? It’s important to drill down into the valuation paid and not just look at the headline number. For example, if the acquisition costs $100 million and the acquired company generates $10 million in net profit each year, this means the acquisition was made at 10x earnings, which is considered cheap. The rule of thumb is anything above 15x earnings would be considered “expensive”, though of course, this varies according to the industry.
  • Supposed benefits – Look at what management communicates to shareholders regarding the benefits of the M&A. Does it result in better earnings visibility, wider customer base or product portfolio or some other tangible benefit? Be careful of general terms such as “synergies” which do not provide specific details on how the M&A will benefit the acquirer.
  • Funding for the acquisition – How is the acquisition funded? Using the company’s internal resources and based off free cash flow generation, or via a higher level of borrowings? This is important as it demonstrates if management may be biting off more than they can chew. The infamous leveraged buy-outs in the late 1990s, where companies borrowed aggressively to fund expensive acquisitions, turned out to be a grave mistake as many of these M&A subsequently fared poorly.
Assessing And Monitoring M&A
As investors, I believe we should continue to monitor and assess if the M&A performed well over time, to decide on whether the company had made a good or poor acquisition. Study the disclosures made of the new division or acquisition (assuming the company discloses such numbers) to determine if it is performing well or poorly. The time horizon should be anything from one year to three years, so this can be a long-drawn process.

The Foolish Bottom Line
M&A can be complex, and it’s not easy for the investor to assess if an M&A is good or bad unless he monitors it. A company may also have a track record of successful M&A which an investor can rely on for psychological comfort. The bottom line is that M&As are not always beneficial, and the investor should be aware of this.

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #1599 on: August 31, 2019, 09:43:37 AM »
岛型反转形态一旦出现;是代表股价会转向相反方向。这是股价强烈反转的一个重要信号。
(The bearish island top reversal chart pattern consists of an Exhaustion Gap followed by a Breakaway Gap.)


Accordia Golf Trust ~ Bearish Island Reversal, interim TP S$0.475

Accordia Golf Trust closed with a black marubozu @ S$0.53 (-0.005, -0.9%) with 770,000 shares done on 30 Aug 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.525, immediate resistance @ S$0.545.



Accordia Golf Trust ~ Bearish Island Reversal

Accordia Golf Trust closed with a hammer @ S$0.525 (+0.005, +1%) with 540,000 shares done on 14 Jun 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.50, immediate resistance @ S$0.53.



Accordia Golf Trust ~ Bearish Island Reversal

Accordia Golf Trust closed with a long-legged doji @ S$0.56 (-0.005, -0.9%) with 1.08m shares done on 4 Jun 2019.

Immediate support @ S$0.55, immediate resistance @ S$0.575.