Author Topic: Casino Stocks  (Read 60567 times)

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #900 on: May 11, 2018, 02:42:27 PM »
苏小妹:

Tianjin ZX的股价会紧跟着它的妈妈;中新药业(600329.SH)的股价走势;而下跌。


中新药业(600329.SH) traded @ RMB 19.43 (-0.63, -3.14%) on 11 May 2018 at 1435 hrs.



苏小妹:

Take profit; count money.
  8)



Tianjin ZX ~ Bullish Symmetrical Triangle Breakout

Tianjin ZX closed with a 'dark cloud cover' @ US$1.13 (-0.04, -3.4%) with 1.66m shares done on 8 May 2018.

Immediate support @ US$1.09, immediate resistance @ US$1.17.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #901 on: May 12, 2018, 08:28:40 AM »
The Basics Of Game Theory
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-theory/08/game-theory-basics.asp

Genting SP ~  Dead cat bounce rally: The gap between S$1.23 to S$.27 is closed

Genting SP gapped up with a white marubozu and closed @ S$1.28 (+0.12, +10.3%) with high volume done at 124m shares on 11 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$1.23, immediate Resistance @ S$1.30.

The gap between S$1.16 to S$1.28 created on 11 May 2018 is a sell signal.



Genting SP ~  Dead cat bounce rally: The gap  @ S$1.24 is closed

Genting SP gapped up with a white marubozu and traded @ S$1.25 (+0.09, +7.8%) with 53.0m shares done on 11 May 2018 at 1000 hrs.

Immediate support @ S$1.15, immediate Resistance @ S$1.30.




Genting SP ~ Completed the impulsive 5-Wave up, riding on the corrective ABC-Wave down (now on sub-wave-B up)

Genting SP had a white marubozu @ S$1.13 (+0.05, +4.6%) with 62.2m shares done on 6 Apr 2018 at 1340 hrs.

Immediate support @ S$1.05, immediate Resistance @ S$1.15.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #902 on: May 12, 2018, 10:06:40 AM »
苏小妹:

只要对比Genting SP和Raffles Edu的图表;就明白什么是玩股票的最基本“游戏规则”(Game Theory)。


The Basics Of Game Theory
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-theory/08/game-theory-basics.asp

Genting SP ~  Dead cat bounce rally: The gap between S$1.23 to S$.27 is closed

Genting SP gapped up with a white marubozu and closed @ S$1.28 (+0.12, +10.3%) with high volume done at 124m shares on 11 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$1.23, immediate Resistance @ S$1.30.

The gap between S$1.16 to S$1.28 created on 11 May 2018 is a sell signal.



Raffles Edu ~ Bullish trend reversal (典型的守株待兔图形)

Raffles Edu gapped up and closed with a shooting star @ S$0.36 (+0.04, +12.5%) with high volume done at 30.33m shares on 13 Oct 2017.

(Shooting star candlestick chart pattern is a sell signal on Friday 13 Oct 2017)



Raffles Edu ~ 单看一根K线就知道股票将大跌。

Raffles Edu ~ Bullish trend reversal (典型的守株待兔图形)

Raffles Edu closed with a doji @ S$0.32 with 4.80m shares done on 20 Oct 2017.

(The shooting star sell signal appeared on Friday 13 Oct 2017.)


Raffles Edu ~ 昙花一现

Raffles Edu closed wth a doji unchanged @ S$0.235 with 89,200 shares done on 9 Mar 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.22, immediate resistance @ S$0.24.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #903 on: May 13, 2018, 06:53:19 AM »
Zuolun bro, ocbc cease coverage on lippo mall trust

In-house broker's call

When OCBC announced ceasing coverage on Lippo Malls last Monday 7 May 2018, the stock closed @ S$0.32 per share, end of day.

When OCBC ceased coverage on Hyflux in Aug 2016, the stock was @ S$0.535 per share then. As at 9 May 2018, Hyflux closed @ S$0.21 per share, recently.

Conclusion: The announcement that OCBC ceased coverage on Lippo Malls is a red flag warning = strong sell signal.

OCBC ends coverage of Hyflux as prospects dry up ~ 10 Aug 2016
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/article/ocbc-ends-coverage-hyflux-prospects-dry

Lippo Malls ~ Bearish Rectangle Breakout, interim TP S$0.245

Lippo Malls closed with a hammer @ S$0.315 (-0.01, -3.1%) with 16m shares done on 8 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.30, immediate resistance @ S$0.325.



Hyflux ~ Bearish Rectangle Breakout, interim TP S$0.171

Hyflux closed with a hammer @ S$0.21 (-0.01, -4.5%) with 3.12m shares done on 9 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.19, immediate resistance @ S$0.215.


Offline odie

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #904 on: May 13, 2018, 07:59:42 AM »
Hyflux director's shareholdings
bondsupermart.com/main/share/article/file/449/Hyflux%20Ltd%20Credit%20Initiation%20Report.pdf

Table 1: Directors’ Interests (as at 21 Jan 17)
Name of Director Direct Interest Deemed Interest
Ordinary Shares
Olivia Lum Ooi Lin 267,351, 211 -
Teo Kiang Kok - 375,000
Gay Chee Cheong 3,000,000 -
Christopher Murugasu 1,095,468 180,000
HYFSP 6.000% Perp/Callable 2018 Pref (SGD) - Retail
Olivia Lum Ooi Lin 8,020 -
Teo Kiang Kok 3,000 -
Gay Chee Cheong 4,860 -
Christopher Murugasu 2,880 -
Perpetual Securities
Olivia Lum Ooi Lin 1,000,000 -
Teo Kiang Kok 200,000 -
Gay Chee Cheong - 500,000
Christopher Murugasu 400,000 -
Simon Tay 500,000 -
Gary Kee Eng Kwee - 500,000
Lau Wing Tat 50,000 -

Offline odie

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #905 on: May 13, 2018, 08:06:56 AM »
straitstimes.com/business/can-hyflux-retire-its-preference-shares-before-they-get-dearer

Can Hyflux retire its preference shares before they get dearer?

Marissa Lee
PUBLISHEDFEB 4, 2018, 5:00 AM SGT
FACEBOOKTWITTEREMAIL
It can service its perps only through divestments - therein lies the hurdle
Like me, investors who are sniffing for yield would have noticed that Hyflux's 6 per cent preference shares, issued at $100 apiece, now trade below par at $91.30 - even with the first call date nearing on April 25.

The first of a kind at their market debut in 2011, Hyflux's $400 million perpetual securities were an instant hit, bid up above par in the earlier years as retirees chased the 6 per cent semi-annual coupon like it was the best thing since sliced bread.

Fast forward to 2018, however, and the big question is whether or not Hyflux will be able to retire the perps come April, or incur a steep interest rate step-up to 8 per cent.


Banks would not be keen to refinance the highly leveraged water project developer, which has not generated positive cash flow from operations since 2009.

The only way Hyflux can procure enough cash to service its perps is through asset divestments, which it had expected to complete last year, but has not.

In February last year, Hyflux said it was planning to partially divest up to 70 per cent of Tuaspring water desalination and power plant, held on its books at a value of $1.3 billion.


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SmallChange
Since October 2016, it has also been trying to sell the Tianjin Dagang desalination plant in China, which has a book value of $150 million.

A Hyflux spokesman told The Sunday Times two weeks ago that Tuaspring had attracted a long list of buyers at the start of the process, which is why the approval process took longer than originally planned. A handful of parties were shortlisted and bids were received late last year, she said.

But sceptics are scratching their heads over why anyone would want to buy Tuaspring, and for what price.

Tuaspring as a whole is loss-making. Its 411MW power plant has never turned a profit since operations began in March 2016.

Hyflux has blamed a weak electricity market and poor power spreads for the losses.

And it is not the only power generation firm that is struggling.

The fact is that Singapore's electricity market is heavily oversupplied, and that is not going to change.



To prevent outages, the energy market regulator sets a minimum reserve margin of 30 per cent.

This is the difference between power produced and consumed.

The actual margin is closer to 90 per cent.

AMORTISATION BURDEN
Any buyer of Tuaspring would also have to take on the burden of amortisation costs since the 25-year water concession ends in 2038, at which point the plant would be returned to national water agency PUB.



Hyflux said it wants book value for the partial divestment.

For more on how the drama unfolds, investors will have to watch the company's full-year results statement at the tail end of this month.

Until then, the 2018 perps are basically a bet that Hyflux pulls off the Tuaspring divestment.

And that would not be the biggest hurdle Hyflux has to clear.

It has another payment coming up on Sept 7, when its $100 million 4.25 per cent Series 008 notes mature. Its $500 million tranche of retail perps callable in 2020 are also trading at 75.1 cents to the dollar, reflecting market doubts over the longer-term sustainability of the business.

Hyflux describes in its annual report: "Our approach is to build up the value of an asset and divest it at an opportune time to recycle capital for growth."

In other words, it makes more money from engineering and construction contracts than from actual plant operations.

But the desalination industry has matured since Hyflux's initial public offering (IPO) in 2001.

With buyers getting more sophisticated, Hyflux is less able to bank on selling a Singapore brand name, so this business model is under pressure, observers say.

Besides, membranes and water polishing are not rocket science, and rivals like Sembcorp Industries, Keppel Infrastructure and Chinese state-owned enterprises like China Everbright Water have stronger financial backing.

As for Hyflux's latest manoeuvre - the proposed distribution of shares in its fledgling consumer business, HyfluxShop - the transaction is immaterial to bond and perp investors since it returns no cash to the Hyflux mother company.

That said, it is unusual for a listed company to give its shareholders units in a private subsidiary that is still a long way away from an IPO, and promises no certainty of an IPO.

Hyflux founder Olivia Lum intends to buy out shareholders' HyfluxShop shares, and has been required by the Securities Industry Council to make a general offer for HyfluxShop.

So shareholders can get some cash back from the proposed dividend in specie if they tender their shares, but should they?

Although the HyfluxShop group made a net loss before tax of $6.3 million in 2016, its core product, oxygen-rich water called ELO Water, may hold promise.

Hyflux claims that unlike other brands of oxygenated water that rapidly lose oxygen to the atmosphere, "ELO Water is produced via a proprietary process that allows a high level of oxygen to exist in water in a unique, stable and bound form and is believed to be easily absorbed by the body".

This may have useful implications for cancer patients and other medical conditions associated with hypoxia.

But the water does not come cheap. With one 1.5-litre bottle retailing at $10, a lot of work needs to be done to convince customers and build up a distributorship.

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #906 on: May 13, 2018, 08:10:39 AM »
In-house broker's call

When OCBC announced ceasing coverage on Lippo Malls last Monday 7 May 2018, the stock closed @ S$0.32 per share, end of day.

When OCBC ceased coverage on Hyflux in Aug 2016, the stock was @ S$0.535 per share then. As at 9 May 2018, Hyflux closed @ S$0.21 per share, recently.

Conclusion: The announcement that OCBC ceased coverage on Lippo Malls is a red flag warning = strong sell signal.

Understanding and relying on analysts' calls

In-house stock analysts' rating lingo:
“underperform” means SELL
“underweight” means SELL
"equal weight” means SELL
“neutral” means SELL
“hold” means SELL
“reduce” means SELL
“sell” means SELL and SHORT-SELL

Cautionary tale of research reports
http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/02/27/cautionary-tale-of-research-reports/

Sun Tzu's Art of War  孫子兵法之聲東擊西


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #907 on: May 13, 2018, 09:04:05 AM »
Singtel's Q4 net profit is likely to continue drag down by it's regional affiliates

Observations:
  • Singtel's Q4 net profit is likely to continue hit by currency translation losses as all its regional affiliates in emerging markets are facing depreciating currencies.
  • Retail Investors are buying Singtel shares to bail-out longterm institutional investors and various stock broking firm's bosses who are stuck in Singtel at high prices,
  • Longterm institutional investors have not stopped dumping Singtel shares since Henderson Global’s Asia funds cut its stake in Singtel, last Apr 2017.
  • Longterm institutional investor, Qatar Foundation had dumped its entire 5% stake in Bharti Airtel for $1.48 billion, last Nov 2017.
Currency translation adjustments
https://www.journalofaccountancy.com/issues/2008/jul/currencytranslationadjustments.html

Idea, Bharti Airtel, RComm down 4-13% after Jio enters postpaid market ~ 12 May 2018
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/stocks/idea-bharti-airtel-rcomm-down-4-13-after-jio-enters-postpaid-market-2566821.html

Bharti Airtel closed @ RS 386.05 on 11 May 2018.



TPG closed @ A$5.78 on 11 May 2018.




Telstra closed @ A$3.20  on 11 May 2018.



Singtel closed @ S$3.55 on 11 May 2018.



In technical analysis, when a stock is in a bear-market territory, the last low will be retested and the share price will move much further down, forming a new record low.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #908 on: May 13, 2018, 11:06:54 AM »
Loot a burning house (趁火打劫)
If I am the potential buyer of Hyflux's assets, I would patiently wait until the company slowly depletes its cash-on-hand cum all the bankers shut the doors refusing to lend money then I start considering buying, at the right price.

Hyflux's current share price had already priced-in the negative news dated 28 Feb 2018, 4 Feb 2018 and 6 Sep 2017. The latest news on Hyflux's 1Q loss of $22.2m dated 9 May 2018 has yet to be reflected.

Hyflux sinks to 1Q loss of $22.2 mil on lower revenue and absence of one-off gain ~ 9 May 2018
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/hyflux-sinks-1q-loss-222-mil-lower-revenue-and-absence-one-gain

Hyflux perps won't be redeemed till divestment of Tuaspring ~ 28 Feb 2018
http://www.straitstimes.com/business/hyflux-perps-wont-be-redeemed-till-divestment-of-tuaspring

Can Hyflux retire its preference shares before they get dearer? ~ 4 Feb 2018
https://www.straitstimes.com/business/can-hyflux-retire-its-preference-shares-before-they-get-dearer

Hyflux: Credit Initiation Report ~ 6 Sep 2017
We are initiating Hyflux Ltd with a Negative issuer profile.

Hyflux director's shareholdings
bondsupermart.com/main/share/article/file/449/Hyflux%20Ltd%20Credit%20Initiation%20Report.pdf

Table 1: Directors’ Interests (as at 21 Jan 17)
Name of Director Direct Interest Deemed Interest
Ordinary Shares
Olivia Lum Ooi Lin 267,351, 211 -
Teo Kiang Kok - 375,000
Gay Chee Cheong 3,000,000 -
Christopher Murugasu 1,095,468 180,000
HYFSP 6.000% Perp/Callable 2018 Pref (SGD) - Retail
Olivia Lum Ooi Lin 8,020 -
Teo Kiang Kok 3,000 -
Gay Chee Cheong 4,860 -
Christopher Murugasu 2,880 -
Perpetual Securities
Olivia Lum Ooi Lin 1,000,000 -
Teo Kiang Kok 200,000 -
Gay Chee Cheong - 500,000
Christopher Murugasu 400,000 -
Simon Tay 500,000 -
Gary Kee Eng Kwee - 500,000
Lau Wing Tat 50,000 -

Hyflux director's shareholdings
bondsupermart.com/main/share/article/file/449/Hyflux%20Ltd%20Credit%20Initiation%20Report.pdf

Table 1: Directors’ Interests (as at 21 Jan 17)
Name of Director Direct Interest Deemed Interest
Ordinary Shares
Olivia Lum Ooi Lin 267,351, 211 -
Teo Kiang Kok - 375,000
Gay Chee Cheong 3,000,000 -
Christopher Murugasu 1,095,468 180,000
HYFSP 6.000% Perp/Callable 2018 Pref (SGD) - Retail
Olivia Lum Ooi Lin 8,020 -
Teo Kiang Kok 3,000 -
Gay Chee Cheong 4,860 -
Christopher Murugasu 2,880 -
Perpetual Securities
Olivia Lum Ooi Lin 1,000,000 -
Teo Kiang Kok 200,000 -
Gay Chee Cheong - 500,000
Christopher Murugasu 400,000 -
Simon Tay 500,000 -
Gary Kee Eng Kwee - 500,000
Lau Wing Tat 50,000 -

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #909 on: May 13, 2018, 11:34:12 AM »
Loot a burning house (趁火打劫)
If I am the potential buyer of Hyflux's assets, I would patiently wait until the company slowly depletes its cash-on-hand cum all the bankers shut the doors refusing to lend money then I start considering buying, at the right price.

人在屋檐下,不得不低头 ~ 当不能独当一面,自力更生,就必须在有权有势有钱人的手下,服从指挥,替别人卖命。

Hyflux perps won't be redeemed till divestment of Tuaspring ~ 28 Feb 2018
http://www.straitstimes.com/business/hyflux-perps-wont-be-redeemed-till-divestment-of-tuaspring
Ms Lum said: "People think we are going to fire sale the asset by lowering the tender price, we will not accept it.

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #910 on: May 13, 2018, 03:37:53 PM »
人在屋檐下,不得不低头 ~ 当不能独当一面,自力更生,就必须在有权有势有钱人的手下,服从指挥,替别人卖命。

Hyflux perps won't be redeemed till divestment of Tuaspring ~ 28 Feb 2018
http://www.straitstimes.com/business/hyflux-perps-wont-be-redeemed-till-divestment-of-tuaspring
Ms Lum said: "People think we are going to fire sale the asset by lowering the tender price, we will not accept it.

A sad story: An aggressive gambler when desperate for cash to pay off his debts (especially loan shark's money) will first sell his house below market value, next lelong his car, etc.., then ultimately, force his pretty wife and only daughter to sell their bodies for hard cash.

In 2014, Hyflux sold its registered office, Hyflux Innovation Centre to Ascendas REIT at S$170m in cash; a 14% discount (or S$27 mln) to its market value and leased back about 50% of the property from the same buyer.

Hyflux Ltd - Should it have sought shareholder approval before selling the Hyflux Innovation Centre? ~ 3 July 2014
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/hyflux-ltd-sought-shareholder-approval-080000687.html

Offline odie

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #911 on: May 13, 2018, 05:09:19 PM »
A sad story: An aggressive gambler when desperate for cash to pay off his debts (especially loan shark's money) will first sell his house below market value, next lelong his car, etc.., then ultimately, force his pretty wife and only daughter to sell their bodies for hard cash.

In 2014, Hyflux sold its registered office, Hyflux Innovation Centre to Ascendas REIT at S$170m in cash; a 14% discount (or S$27 mln) to its market value and leased back about 50% of the property from the same buyer.

Hyflux Ltd - Should it have sought shareholder approval before selling the Hyflux Innovation Centre? ~ 3 July 2014
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/hyflux-ltd-sought-shareholder-approval-080000687.html
Quote from yahoo news
"According to the research report, Hyflux is aggressively bidding for projects in Oman, Nigera, India and Singapore, but it hasn’t secured any orders yet."
she has chosen to tender for projects in areas of high tension.
there is some default risk if the projects are not paid up.

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #912 on: May 13, 2018, 10:06:46 PM »
Quote from yahoo news
"According to the research report, Hyflux is aggressively bidding for projects in Oman, Nigera, India and Singapore, but it hasn’t secured any orders yet."
she has chosen to tender for projects in areas of high tension.
there is some default risk if the projects are not paid up.

狗急跳墙 ~ 比喻走投无路时不顾一切地采取极端的行动。

为什么会狗急跳墙?Because Hyflux's "Free cash flow (ie cash flow from operating activities less capex) has all along been negative..."


Chan Kit Whye on ... the woes of Hyflux ~ 22 Feb 2014
https://www.nextinsight.net/index.php/story-archive-mainmenu-60/924-2014/8155-chan-kit-whye-on-hyflux-
 

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #913 on: May 13, 2018, 10:47:55 PM »
苏小妹:

Tianjin ZX的股价会紧跟着它的妈妈;中新药业(600329.SH)的股价走势;而下跌。


Ping An Good Doctor's shares slide below IPO price on valuation worries ~ 7 May 2018
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-pingan-hlthcr-tc-stock/ping-an-good-doctors-shares-slide-below-ipo-price-on-valuation-worries-idUSKBN1I80K0

China stocks end higher, led by healthcare ~ 27 Apr 2018
https://uk.reuters.com/article/china-stocks-close/china-stocks-end-higher-led-by-healthcare-idUKZZN2RAA00

Tianjin ZX ~ Bullish Symmetrical Triangle Breakout

Tianjin ZX closed with a hanging man @ US$1.15 (-0.02, -1.7%) with 1.31m shares done on 11 May 2018.

Immediate support @ US$1.12, immediate resistance @ US$1.20.



中新药业(600329.SH) closed with a spinning top @ RMB 19.55 (-0.51, -2.54%) on 11 May 2018.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #914 on: May 14, 2018, 10:51:04 AM »
VIPs lift Genting Singapore Q1 2018 net profit to US$162.3m ~ 11 May 2018
https://calvinayre.com/2018/05/11/casino/vips-lift-genting-singapore-q1-2018-net-profit-162-3m/
The “upside surprise” in Genting Singapore’s results “was driven almost entirely by higher than expected VIP volume.”  Looking ahead, Genting said that it is actively preparing for the start of Japan’s casino license bidding. The casino operator has expressed optimism that the Japanese Diet will pass all casino-related bills this year.

Genting SP ~  Dead cat bounce rally: The gap between S$1.23 to S$.27 is closed

Genting SP gapped up with a white marubozu and closed @ S$1.28 (+0.12, +10.3%) with high volume done at 124m shares on 11 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$1.23, immediate Resistance @ S$1.30.

The gap between S$1.16 to S$1.28 created on 11 May 2018 is a sell signal.



Genting SP (Weekly) ~ Falling Wedge pattern

Genting SP closed @ S$0.755 per share as at 22 Aug 2016.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #915 on: May 14, 2018, 12:13:13 PM »
苏小妹:

胜者为王,败者为寇。

Opcom是与马来西亚首相马哈迪儿子Mokhzani有关联的一间上市公司。

Mokhzani-led Opcom rises ahead of GE14
~ 7 May 2018
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/mokhzaniled-opcom-rises-ahead-ge14

Opcom ~ Bullish rectangle Breakout

Opcom gapped up with an inverted hammer and closed @ RM0.605 (+0.16, +36%) with high volume done at 44.5m shares on 8 May 2018.



Malaysia election 2018 results: Ruling party SHOCK defeat as 92-year-old secures VICTORY ~ 8 May 2018
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/957317/malaysia-election-2018-results-live-updates-najib-razak-Mahathir-Mohamad
Mahathir-led opposition declares victory.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #916 on: May 14, 2018, 01:50:10 PM »
苏小妹:

以下三张图表都有一些很特别的共同点,你能看懂吗?


1.  Opcom



2.  Raffles Edu



3.  Genting SP


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #917 on: May 15, 2018, 09:01:36 AM »
KNM ~ Bearish Double Top Breakout

KNM closed with a spinning top @ RM0.21 (+0.01, +5%) with 15.7m shares done on 14 May 2018.

Immeddiate support @ RM0.18, immediate resistance @ RM0.22.



KNM ~ Bearish symmetrical triangle breakout

KNM closed with a gravestone doji  unchanged @ RM0.405 with 7.47m shares done on 5 July 2016.

Crucial support @ RM0.39, immediate resistance @ RM0.42.

Expect KNM's share price to retest the last low of RM0.39 scored on 25 Aug 2015 and move much further down.



对称三角形图形

ote]

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #918 on: May 15, 2018, 09:35:57 AM »
苏小妹:

对比KNM和IndoAgri的图表(对称三角形图形),你能看懂技术分析的最基本图形吗?


KNM ~ Bearish Double Top Breakout

KNM closed with a spinning top @ RM0.21 (+0.01, +5%) with 15.7m shares done on 14 May 2018.

Immeddiate support @ RM0.18, immediate resistance @ RM0.22.



KNM ~ Bearish symmetrical triangle breakout

KNM closed with a gravestone doji  unchanged @ RM0.405 with 7.47m shares done on 5 July 2016.

Crucial support @ RM0.39, immediate resistance @ RM0.42.

Expect KNM's share price to retest the last low of RM0.39 scored on 25 Aug 2015 and move much further down.


IndoAgri ~ Trading in a rectangle, downside biased

IndoAgri closed with a four-price doji @ S$0.305 (+0.002, +0.7%) with 120,000 shares done on 4 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.295, immediate resistance @ S$0.31.



IndoAgri (weekly) ~ Bearish symmetrical triangle breakout, Measured Target S$0.245 ~ 6 Apr 2018


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #919 on: May 15, 2018, 12:34:24 PM »
苏小妹:

对比Vocus Groupi的大小方向图表,你能区分这两张图表的图形吗?


1.  Vocus Group (小方向) ~ Bullish Triple Bottom (Reversal) chart pattern

Vocus Group closed @ A$2.71 on 14 May 2018.



2.  Vocus Group (大方向) ~ Longterm downtrend, downside biased

Vocus Group closed @ A$2.71 on 14 May 2018.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #920 on: May 15, 2018, 09:02:53 PM »
金光农业资源首季净利同比大跌68%

2018年5月15日 - 8:26 am

原棕油价格疲弱和产能下降,金光农业资源(Golden Agri Resources)截至3月底的第一季净利同比,大跌68.4%至1185万美元(约1583万新元)。

集团第一季营收同比下跌11%至18亿1617万美元。每股盈利跌69%至0.09美分,每股净资产值是0.32美元。

集团表示,第一季棕油行业充分挑战,专家认为下半年产能会过剩。然而食物需求持续提高,集团相信棕油价格会获得支撑。集团会继续专注采纳新科技和有责任地生产。

Golden Agri-Resources Q1 profit down 68% to US$11.9m

By Jacquelyn Cheok
May 15, 2018 7:56 am updated Tue, May 15, 2018 - 6:05 pm

Shares of mainboard-listed agribusiness Golden Agri-Resources fell by 2.78% or one Singapore cent to trade at S$0.35 as at 9.44am on Tuesday - after the company posted a 68% fall in net profit to US$11.9 million for its first quarter ended March 31, 2018, down from US$37.6 million a year ago.

Golden Agri-Resources was among the most active counters on the Singapore Exchange (SGX) in early Tuesday morning trade, with 5.69 million shares having traded hands as at 9.34am. The counter opened at S$0.36.

In a filing made to the SGX before market open, Golden Agri-Resources reported that revenue fell by 11.3% to US$1.82 billion for its first quarter, compared to US$2.04 billion in its previous year. This was due mainly to decreases in both palm production and CPO (crude palm oil) prices.

Palm product output for the first quarter of 2018 decreased both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter by 12 and 6 per cents respectively, to about 612,000 tonnes. The lower year-on-year production was attributable to unusually high production last year in relation to the recovery from the El Nino phenomenon in 2015, while the quarter-on-quarter decline was due to seasonality, said Golden Agri-Resources.

The company added that several estates in the southern part of Kalimantan and Sumatra were still impacted by the prolonged drought condition. Coupled with lower CPO prices, Ebitda (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) for the quarter was weaker at US$95 million.

CPO futures closed @ RM2,332 as at 4 May 2018



GAR will be releasing its unaudited financial results for the 1Q ended 31 Mar 2018 before trading hours on Tuesday, 15 May 2018.

Golden Agri ~ Broke the intermediate uptrend, interim TP S$0.325, next TP S$0.265

Golden Agri had a hammer and traded @ S$0.36 (-0.005, -1.4%) with 13.2m shares on 11 May 2018 at 1305 hrs.

Immediate support @ S$0.35, immediate resistance @ S$0.365.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #921 on: May 16, 2018, 06:59:27 AM »
苏小妹:

从小方向看新电信的矩形图形,它是典型的“walk like a crab"  = 像螃蟹走路一样;横着走。(Trading in a rectangle, downside biased)

从大方向看新电信的长期下降图形,它是典型的下行走势。 (Longterm downtrend, downside biased)

对比新电信的大小方向图表,它是否适合长期持有?


1.  Singtel (小方向) ~ Trading in a rectangle, downside biased

Singtel closed @ S$3.43 on 15 May 2018.



2.  Singtel (大方向) ~ Longterm downtrend, downside biased



In technical analysis, when a stock is in a bear-market territory, the last low will be retested and the share price will move much further down, forming a new record low.



Singtel ~ Trading in a rectangle, downside biased

Singtel closed with a white marubozu @ S$3.52 (+0.02, +0.6%) with 13.5m shares done on 3 May 2018.

Classic support @ S$3.38, strong resistance @ S$3.56.



矩形特征:
1、既可以在涨势中出现,也可以在跌势中出现;
2、股价在上下距离相近的水平位置中作上下波动,将高点和低点分别边线,就构成一个长方形的图形,最后寻求向上或向下突破。
3、在矩形形成过程中,成交量不断减少,向上突破必须有成交量激增的配合,向下突破则不一定放量。[/b][/color]

矩形 (Bullish and Bearish Rectangle Chart Pattern)


Offline odie

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #922 on: May 16, 2018, 07:14:39 AM »
Zuolun bro, jep now doing share consolidation
4 held for 1
Ums has 29% of it

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #923 on: May 16, 2018, 11:37:29 AM »
Zuolun bro,

Sold singtel at open at 3.62

苏小妹:

1.  2018年一月二十三日odie很侥幸的及时在S$3.62跑路是因为他在新电信的对称三角形图形(大方向)下降突破前卖出。(Sold before the bearish symmetrical triangle breakout)
2.  如果他现在想从这只股票赚钱,只能short-sell新电信。最好的价位在矩形图形之内 = S$3.56卖出,S$3.30买回。(Trade within the rectange between S$3.56 to S$3.30)

苏小妹:

"How could odie profit from Singtel using TA? (Trade within the rectange between S$3.56 to S$3.30)" ~ May 06, 2018, 01:19:47 pm

It means sell high, buy low or short-sell Singtel @ S$3.56 and buy back near S$3.30 to cover short.

注:"short-sell" = "卖空" ~ 就是用CFD account在高价先卖出,然后在低价买回股票来平仓;赚取差价。


Singtel ~ Trading in a rectangle, downside biased

Singtel closed @ S$3.43 on 15 May 2018.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #924 on: May 16, 2018, 05:19:01 PM »
Zuolun bro, jep now doing share consolidation
4 held for 1
Ums has 29% of it

As far as I remember, almost all SGX-listed companies who did share consolidation had caused retail investors to lose big money, especially NOBLE Group's ten-into-one share consolidation. So I always ignore companies that propose share consolidation, issue rights and warrants because I don't want to lose my hard-earned money.

Offline odie

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #925 on: May 17, 2018, 07:14:10 AM »
As far as I remember, almost all SGX-listed companies who did share consolidation had caused retail investors to lose big money, especially NOBLE Group's ten-into-one share consolidation. So I always ignore companies that propose share consolidation, issue rights and warrants because I don't want to lose my hard-earned money.

Can patiently wait cos now ex entitlement already
Now patiently wait for Fraser logistics to go on great Singapore sale
It is having a preferential offering at 0.967

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #926 on: May 17, 2018, 07:52:43 AM »
苏小妹:

物以类聚:电信股的股价都往同一个方向走;像小飞鱼跳水。Global funds and short-sellers sell off teleco stocks, fast and furious.


Bharti Airtel closed @ RS 376.00 on 16 May 2018.



TPG closed @ A$5.33 on 16 May 2018.



Telstra closed @ A$2.86  on 16 May 2018.



Vocus Group closed @ A$2.45 on 16 May 2018.



Singtel closed @ S$3.42 on 16 May 2018.



In technical analysis, when a stock is in a bear-market territory, the last low will be retested and the share price will move much further down, forming a new record low.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #927 on: May 17, 2018, 09:36:58 AM »
Zuolun bro, jep now doing share consolidation
4 held for 1
Ums has 29% of it

Can patiently wait cos now ex entitlement already

Muphry's law: "Whatever can go wrong, will go wrong." UMS is a tech stock. It will follow the global tech industry trend.

UMS: DBSV maintained BUY, TP S$1.37 ~ 14 May 2018
https://researchwise.dbsvresearch.com/ResearchManager/DownloadResearch.aspx?E=dgdbjkQEByd191c2VyaWRAQA==

苏小妹:

趋势已过不恋战 ~ 下行趋势中的反弹、不可恋战。

技术分析能预先警告你股票会大跌;赶紧在崩盘前跑路!





Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #928 on: May 17, 2018, 10:28:23 AM »
Observations:
  • Singtel's Q4 net profit is likely to continue hit by currency translation losses as all its regional affiliates in emerging markets are facing depreciating currencies.
  • Retail Investors are buying Singtel shares to bail-out longterm institutional investors and various stock broking firm's bosses who are stuck in Singtel at high prices,
  • Longterm institutional investors have not stopped dumping Singtel shares since Henderson Global’s Asia funds cut its stake in Singtel, last Apr 2017.
  • Longterm institutional investor, Qatar Foundation had dumped its entire 5% stake in Bharti Airtel for $1.48 billion, last Nov 2017.
Currency translation adjustments
https://www.journalofaccountancy.com/issues/2008/jul/currencytranslationadjustments.html

Singtel's Q4 profit falls 19% on lower India, Indonesia results ~ 17 May 2018
Singtel's Q4 net profit hurt by lower contributions from its regional associates in Indonesia and India as well as adverse currency movements.

Singtel closed @ S$3.42 on 16 May 2018.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #929 on: May 17, 2018, 12:29:04 PM »
苏小妹:

顺藤摸瓜:想知道Golden Agri这只股票往后的走势会如何,只要盯着Palm oil futures的图表就可以了。


Golden Agri ~ Broke the intermediate uptrend, interim TP S$0.325, next TP S$0.265

Golden Agri had an inverted hammer and traded @ S$0.335 (-0.005, -1.5%) with 10.2m shares done on 17 May 2018 at 1200 hrs.

Immediate support @ S$0.325, immediate resistance @ S$0.345.



Golden Agri ~ Broke the intermediate uptrend, interim TP S$0.325, next TP S$0.265

Golden Agri had a hammer and traded @ S$0.36 (-0.005, -1.4%) with 13.2m shares done on 11 May 2018 at 1305 hrs.

Immediate support @ S$0.35, immediate resistance @ S$0.365.




CPO futures closed @ RM2,332 as at 4 May 2018



Understanding and relying on analysts' calls

In-house stock analysts' rating lingo:
“downgrade” means SELL
“underperform” means SELL
“underweight” means SELL
"equal weight” means SELL
“neutral” means SELL
“hold” means SELL
“reduce” means SELL
“sell” means SELL and SHORT-SELL


Golden Agri downgraded to Sell by Daiwa after earnings miss

By: Leslie Shaffer
17 May 2018

Daiwa downgraded Golden Agri-Resources to Sell from Underperform after first-quarter results missed its forecasts and amid signs of another challenging year ahead for the palm-oil producer.

“We see a further derating in the shares given our bearish view on near-term CPO prices in 2018,” Daiwa said.

Golden Agri-Resources reported its first-quarter net profit fell 68 percent on-year to US$12 million, while revenue fell 11 percent on-year to US$1.82 billion. Revenue fell on a combination of lower palm oil production and lower CPO prices, the company said in a filing to SGX before the market open on Tuesday.

Daiwa said the results missed its forecast on a combination of weaker-than-expected volumes and EBITDA margin performance. EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization.

With the average CPO price down by 3 percent so far in the second quarter, compared with the previous quarter, margins could remain under pressure, it said in a note on Tuesday.

It cut its 2018-20 earnings per share (EPS) forecasts by 23-32 percent after lowering its fresh fruit bunches (FFB) production growth outlook for this year to 7.2 percent from 8.1 percent on-year previously and after lowering its EBITDA margin assumptions.

That spurred a target price cut to S$0.23 from S$0.33.

Separately, UOB KayHian downgraded Golden Agri to Sell from Hold and cut its target price to S$0.26 from S$0.31. It lowered its 2018-20 earnings forecasts by 22-29 percent to factor in potentially lower palm and laurics segment EBITDA margins.

The stock ended Wednesday down 2.86 percent at S$0.34.

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #930 on: May 17, 2018, 03:03:28 PM »
Hong Kong's brain drain: Why its young are losing hope and leaving. ~ 17 May 2018
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/cnainsider/hong-kong-brain-drain-young-emigration-housing-prices-china-10240236

Hong Kong's next emigration wave - Living in a coffin home ~ 19 Apr 2018
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/video-on-demand/insight/hong-kong-s-next-emigration-wave-living-in-a-coffin-home-10152806

20万香港底层的真实生存状态:我还没死,就住进了棺材房 ~ 4 Oct 2017
https://www.sohu.com/a/196241273_313480



A Hong Kong apartment sets an Asian price record, amid government curbs ~ 2 Oct 2017
https://www.domain.com.au/news/a-hong-kong-apartment-sets-an-asian-price-record-amid-government-curbs-20171002-gys6o8/



Hong Kong commercial property prices triple over past decade ~ 14 Sep 2017
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-14/hong-kong-commercial-property-prices-triple-over-past-decade
  • Hong Kong’s gain followed by Manhattan, London, Singapore
  • Four cities including Amsterdam and Tokyo had price declines


My week in Lucky House: the horror of Hong Kong's coffin homes ~ 29 Aug 2017
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/aug/29/hong-kong-coffin-homes-horror-my-week



Ghost of the 1997 Crisis stalks Hong Kong's economy ~ 22 May 2017
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-05-21/ghost-of-97-stalks-hong-kong-economy-infected-by-housing-debt



Offline odie

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #931 on: May 17, 2018, 09:17:33 PM »
Zuolun bro,
Looks like viva Industrial Trust trust merging with esr reit
No news yet though
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/viva-industrial-trust-gain-potential-merger-esr-reit-maybank
Huats ah

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #932 on: May 18, 2018, 07:55:47 AM »
Zuolun bro, jep now doing share consolidation
4 held for 1
Ums has 29% of it

Muphry's law: "Whatever can go wrong, will go wrong." UMS is a tech stock. It will follow the global tech industry trend.

UMS: DBSV maintained BUY, TP S$1.37 ~ 14 May 2018
https://researchwise.dbsvresearch.com/ResearchManager/DownloadResearch.aspx?E=dgdbjkQEByd191c2VyaWRAQA==

From a TA perspective, UMS is a good candidate for short-sellers.

UMS – Caught the downside since April ~ 18 May 2018
http://singaporehumblestock.com/ums-caught-the-downside-since-april-3-simple-reasons-for-the-turn-read-on/

3 simple reasons why it turned down
1.  It couldn’t break the downtrend line which we drew back on 27th April
2.  It broke our horizontal support of $1.07
3.  The moving averages were starting to slop downwards



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #933 on: May 18, 2018, 09:13:17 AM »
Zuolun bro,
Looks like viva Industrial Trust trust merging with esr reit
No news yet though
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/viva-industrial-trust-gain-potential-merger-esr-reit-maybank
Huats ah

苏小妹:

技术分析能预先警告你股票会大跌;赶紧在崩盘前跑路!


Viva Ind Tr ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

Viva Ind Tr closed with a doji unchanged @ S$0.89 with 630,000 shares done on 17 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.875, immediate resistance @ S$0.905.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #934 on: May 18, 2018, 11:30:51 AM »
苏小妹:

那么巧!你长期持有Viva Ind Tr这只股票来赚取利息。 :D

辛好你在Viva Ind Tr低价时建仓,而不是在高价时入市。 :P

横看成岭侧成峰,远近高低各不同。
不识庐山真面目,只缘身在此山中。




苏小妹:

技术分析能预先警告你股票会大跌;赶紧在崩盘前跑路!


Viva Ind Tr ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

Viva Ind Tr closed with a doji unchanged @ S$0.89 with 630,000 shares done on 17 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.875, immediate resistance @ S$0.905.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #935 on: May 18, 2018, 02:01:46 PM »
苏小妹:

虽然我与他用的电脑软件和技术分析讲解都不一样;但是我们对扬子江图表显示出来的负面看法,却是相同的。


Yzj ShipBlg – Caution ahead! Impending break down! ~ 18 May 2018
http://singaporehumblestock.com/yzj-shipblg-caution-ahead-impending-break-down/

Yangzijiang closed with a black marubozu @ S$1.11 (-0.02, -1.8%) with 21.45m shares done on 17 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$1.02, immediate resistance @ S$1.15.



Yangzijiang ~ Completed the impulsive 5-Wave up, riding on the corrective ABC-Wave down

Yangzijiang closed with a spinning top @ S$1.21 (+0.01, +0.8%) with 23.6m shares done on 29 Mar 2018.

Immediate support @ S$1.15, immediate resistance @ S$1.27.



The Elliott Wave Pattern
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:elliott_wave_theory
Rule 1: Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Rule 2: Wave 3 can never be the shortest of the three impulse waves.
Rule 3: Wave 4 can never overlap Wave 1.

Usually for commodities, Wave-5 will be the longest wave; while for stocks, Wave-3 will be the longest wave and a minimum target for Wave-5 is 100% of Wave-1.




Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #936 on: May 18, 2018, 05:04:17 PM »
Can patiently wait cos now ex entitlement already
Now patiently wait for Fraser logistics to go on great Singapore sale
It is having a preferential offering at 0.967

苏小妹:

你对FLT的图表看法是负面还是正面?


FLT ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

FLT closed with a gravestone doji unchanged @ S$1.04 with 9.18m shares done on 17 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$1.03, strong resistance @ S$1.08.





Offline odie

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #937 on: May 18, 2018, 07:30:04 PM »
苏小妹:

技术分析能预先警告你股票会大跌;赶紧在崩盘前跑路!


Viva Ind Tr ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

Viva Ind Tr closed with a doji unchanged @ S$0.89 with 630,000 shares done on 17 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.875, immediate resistance @ S$0.905.


Zuolun bro,
Esr buying viva industrial trust
They offer 160 esr shares and $9.60 for 100 viva shares
Luckily I bought some on Thursday before halt
Now can sit and wait
I queue some viva at a good price to sell
In the meantime, collecting some dividend as it will xd on Monday

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #938 on: May 18, 2018, 09:45:03 PM »
Zuolun bro,
Esr buying viva industrial trust
They offer 160 esr shares and $9.60 for 100 viva shares
Luckily I bought some on Thursday before halt
Now can sit and wait
I queue some viva at a good price to sell
In the meantime, collecting some dividend as it will xd on Monday

As a rule of thumb; buying stocks at the peak is risky when there is corporate activity.

You jumped into buying the shares at high cost before it was halted whereas 苏小妹 has been vested in Viva Ind Tr at much lower cost, long time ago.

Based on Viva Ind Tr's weekly chart, she bought at cheap and had collected many rounds of dividends. so her risk tolerance is much stronger than you.

Viva Ind Tr (weekly) as at 18 May 2018.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #939 on: May 19, 2018, 07:54:10 AM »
As a rule of thumb; buying stocks at the peak is risky when there is corporate activity.

You jumped into buying the shares at high cost before it was halted whereas 苏小妹 has been vested in Viva Ind Tr at much lower cost, long time ago.

Based on Viva Ind Tr's weekly chart, she bought at cheap and had collected many rounds of dividends. so her risk tolerance is much stronger than you.

Esr and Viva: The predator and prey
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_JCw4Sq-ts

Viva Ind Tr ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

Viva Ind Tr closed with a doji unchanged @ S$0.89 with 630,000 shares done on 17 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.875, immediate resistance @ S$0.905.



Viva Ind Tr (weekly) as at 18 May 2018.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #940 on: May 20, 2018, 08:20:55 AM »
It was your Centurion, not mine.

I will never buy Centurion at current price because from a TA perspective, it's at the last leg of the impulsive Wave-5.

Coupled with the 74,791,734 outstanding company warrants with an exercise price of S$0.50 per share issued on 27 Oct 2013 had already expired on 27 Oct 2017, i.e. the immediate support @ S$0.50 is shaky.

Centurion has a high gearing of 64%, bond investors would be better off than stock investor as its 85 million 2020 Singdollar bonds issued on 12 Apr 2017 pay 5.25% interest.

Gearing Ratio
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/gearingratio.asp

苏小妹:

从技术分析的角度来判断股票买卖时机;我是绝对不会在高价买入Viva Ind Tr这只股票的。

对比Viva Ind Tr和Centurion的图表,你能看出它们有什么相同之处吗?


Viva Ind Tr ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel



Centurion ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel



Performance Chart ~ Viva Ind Tr Vs Centurion ~ 18 May 2018


Offline odie

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #941 on: May 20, 2018, 09:33:32 PM »
Zuolun bro,

Can always buy high and sell high

Like F&N, I buy at sky high 8.82
And waited until it split to frasers property limited to sell at 1.69 and F&N at 3.07 although it is now at $2, I am happy with small profits

Offline odie

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #942 on: May 21, 2018, 08:48:00 AM »
Zuolun bro, jep change stock code cos it did share consolidation
Still on my watchlist

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #943 on: May 21, 2018, 09:21:04 AM »
Yangzijiang ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$0.91

Yangzijiang closed with a black marubozu @ S$1.06 (-0.005, -0.5%) with 16.55m shares done on 18 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.98, immediate resistance @ S$1.10.



苏小妹:

虽然我与他用的电脑软件和技术分析讲解都不一样;但是我们对扬子江图表显示出来的负面看法,却是相同的。


Yzj ShipBlg – Caution ahead! Impending break down! ~ 18 May 2018
http://singaporehumblestock.com/yzj-shipblg-caution-ahead-impending-break-down/

Yangzijiang closed with a black marubozu @ S$1.11 (-0.02, -1.8%) with 21.45m shares done on 17 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$1.02, immediate resistance @ S$1.15.



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #944 on: May 21, 2018, 09:32:00 AM »
苏小妹:

趋势已过不恋战 ~ 下行趋势中的反弹、不可恋战。


Yangzijiang ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel, interim TP S$0.91



Centurion ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel



Viva Ind Tr ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel



In technical analysis, when a stock is in a bear-market territory, the last low will be retested and the share price will move much further down, forming a new record low.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #945 on: May 21, 2018, 11:46:36 AM »
苏小妹:

从技术分析的角度来判断股票买卖时机;我是绝对不会在高价买入或因为企业并购(M&A)而长期持有ESR这只股票的。

ESR is the predator; ViVa is its prey

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_JCw4Sq-ts

ESR ~ Broke the uptrend line

ESR closed with a black marubozu @ S$0.525 on 17 May 2018, prior to the trading halt on 18 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.51, strong resistance @ S$0.54.



ESR (weekly) ~ Broke the uptrend sloping channel



Viva Ind Tr ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

Viva Ind Tr closed with a doji unchanged @ S$0.89 with 630,000 shares done on 17 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.875, immediate resistance @ S$0.905.



Viva Ind Tr (weekly) as at 18 May 2018.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #946 on: May 22, 2018, 07:45:34 AM »
苏小妹:

2018年五月二十一日出现的这一根K线是卖出信号(SELL Signal),赶紧在崩盘前跑路!


Viva Ind Tr ~ Falsebreak to trap bulls

Viva Ind Tr gapped up and closed with a black marubozu @ S$0.90 (+0.028, +3.3%) with high volume done at 4.95m shares on 21 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.885, immediate resistance @ S$0.93.



Viva Ind Tr ~ Trading in a downward sloping channel

Viva Ind Tr closed with a doji unchanged @ S$0.89 with 630,000 shares done on 17 May 2018.

Immediate support @ S$0.875, immediate resistance @ S$0.905.


Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #947 on: May 22, 2018, 10:23:08 AM »
Understanding and relying on analysts' calls

In-house stock analysts' rating lingo:
“downgrade” means SELL
“underperform” means SELL
“underweight” means SELL
"equal weight” means SELL
“neutral” means SELL
“hold” means SELL
“reduce” means SELL
“sell” means SELL and SHORT-SELL

苏小妹:

日本股神是川银藏(Ginzō Korekawa)说:“不要一看到报章杂志刊出什么利多题材,就一头栽进去。”


Viva Industrial Trust downgraded by Maybank KimEng despite ‘win-win’ merger ~ 21 May 2018
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/viva-industrial-trusts-merger-esr-reit-win-win-situation-maybank
Maybank KimEng cut its target price to S$0.96 from S$1.05, saying “We expect Viva’s share price to be range bound and capped at its S$0.96 offer value until completion of the deal.”

Viva Industrial Trust: Maybank KimEng reiterated as BUY, TP S$1.05 ~ 29 Jan 2018
https://s3-ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com/investingnote-production-webbucket/attachments/24feebe10b343dce221c07503dfd85a315f25b64.pdf?1517197331

Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #948 on: May 23, 2018, 10:44:21 AM »
Zuolun bro, jep change stock code cos it did share consolidation
Still on my watchlist

After goreng JEP up 111% since the start of the year, UMS fall off the cliff; these 2 stocks are good candidates for aggressive gamblers.

UMS closed wih a black marubozu @ S$0.90 (-0.075, -7.69%) on 22 May 2018.



From a TA perspective, UMS is a good candidate for short-sellers.

UMS – Caught the downside since April ~ 18 May 2018
http://singaporehumblestock.com/ums-caught-the-downside-since-april-3-simple-reasons-for-the-turn-read-on/

3 simple reasons why it turned down
1.  It couldn’t break the downtrend line which we drew back on 27th April
2.  It broke our horizontal support of $1.07
3.  The moving averages were starting to slop downwards



Offline zuolun

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Re: Casino Stocks
« Reply #949 on: May 23, 2018, 01:03:36 PM »
苏小妹:

Golden Agri的庄家跑路了!(Drop like a stick)




Golden Agri ~ Bearish Rounding Top Breakout, interim TP S$0.265, next TP S$0.23

Golden Agri gapped down with a black marubozu and traded @ S$0.30 (-0.025, -7.7%) with high volume done at 27.7m shares on 23 May 2018 at 1200 hrs.

Immediate support @ S$0.295, immediate resistance @ S$0.325.



Rounding Top Chart Pattern



碗形结构,圆形顶和圆形底的反转形态 (Rounding Top/Rounding Bottom Chart Pattern)

圆形顶,即碟形顶(saucer top),属于转向形态,显示大跌市即将来临,后市跌势将会很大。

顾名思义,圆形顶的形态特征是倒转半圆形或碟形,成交量在顶部形成后,开始逐步减少。凡确认圆 形顶见顶形态 ,投资者宜尽快沽货离场,以免所持股份变成“蟹货”。

圆形顶的形成,是股价经过一段升势后,升势开始放缓,每次新高位较上一个高位距离不远。由于升 势放缓,部分 先知先觉的投资者便撤退离场,令卖方力量增加。淡友先在圆形顶部与好友势力对抗,其后在好友数 目逐步减少下 ,淡友就得以渐渐控制局面。股价遂持续下滑,直至淡友全面控制局面后,市场需求转为供过于求, 跌势才会较急 。由于形成过程稍长,有时需数月始完成圆形顶。

个别情况下,即使圆形顶形成,股价也不会实时急跌,仅会反复徘徊,横行发展,这徘徊区称为“碟 柄”或“碗柄 ” 。但由于跌势已成,该“碟柄”或“碗柄”一般很快便被突破,股价会转而向下,朝预期中的下跌趋 势而行。

圆形底,又称碟形底(saucer bottom),属于见底形态,显示跌势已逆转,大升市即将来临,后市升势可以很大。其走势及趋向,与圆形 顶刚好相反。

顾名思义,圆形底的形态特征是倒转半圆形或碟形,成交量在底部形成后,开始逐步减少。凡确认圆 形底见底形态 ,投资者宜待圆形底升势转急初期,才追买股票。

圆形底的形成过程如下:当股价经过一段跌势后,跌势开始放缓,沽售(或沽空)股票的成交量开始 减少。每次新 低位较上一个低位距离不远。由于跌势放缓,部分先知先觉者开始趁低吸纳,收集手法普遍是有耐性 地限价收集, 淡友力量因屡攻不下而开始减少,令圆形底部的成交量亦减少。其后好友数目逐步增加,渐控制局面 ,股价才能逐 步上扬。及好友完全控制局面,市场需求转为求过于供,升势方转急。由于形成过程稍久,往往需时 数月始完成圆 形底形态。

个别情况下,即使圆形底形成,股价并不会实时急升,仅会反复横行徘徊,这徘徊区称为“碟柄”或 “碗柄”。但 当升势既成,这“碟柄”或“碗柄”很快会被突破,股价转而向上,朝预期的上升趋势而行。


Golden Agri ~ Broke the intermediate uptrend, interim TP S$0.325, next TP S$0.265

Golden Agri had an inverted hammer and traded @ S$0.335 (-0.005, -1.5%) with 10.2m shares done on 17 May 2018 at 1200 hrs.

Immediate support @ S$0.325, immediate resistance @ S$0.345.



Golden Agri ~ Broke the intermediate uptrend, interim TP S$0.325, next TP S$0.265

Golden Agri had a hammer and traded @ S$0.36 (-0.005, -1.4%) with 13.2m shares done on 11 May 2018 at 1305 hrs.

Immediate support @ S$0.35, immediate resistance @ S$0.365.